Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 16

Dec 6, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Pittodrie Stadium

Aberdeen
0 - 1
Kilmarnock

Shinnie (45'), Hayes (65'), Gartenmann (82')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Watson (90+2')
McKenzie (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between Aberdeen and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Aberdeen

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hibernian 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, December 3 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: Kilmarnock 0-1 Hearts
Saturday, December 2 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Aberdeen 2-1 Kilmarnock

Despite failing to win in their last five matches, Aberdeen have produced decent displays against Rangers and Helsinki during the past fortnight, so the Dons should be confident of collecting the points on Wednesday. Kilmarnock are notoriously poor on their Premiership travels, meaning we are predicting McInnes's return to Pittodrie to be an unhappy one for those of a Killie persuasion. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aberdeen win with a probability of 43.26%. A win for Kilmarnock had a probability of 31.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aberdeen win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.97%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Kilmarnock win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood.

Result
Aberdeen	Draw	Kilmarnock
43.26% ( 0.03)	25.68% ( -0.01)	31.06% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.97% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.07% (

0.05)

49.93% (

-0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.08% (

0.05)

71.91% (

-0.04)

Aberdeen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.02% (

0.04)

22.98% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.23% (

0.05)

56.76% (

-0.05)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.07% (

0.02)

29.93% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.96% (

0.02)

66.04% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Aberdeen 43.26%

Kilmarnock 31.06%

Draw 25.68%

Aberdeen	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 10.11% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 8.97% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.4% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 3.65% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.34% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( 0) Other @ 2.11% Total : 43.26%	1-1 @ 12.2% 0-0 @ 6.88% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( 0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 25.68%	0-1 @ 8.3% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.36% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) Other @ 3.26% Total : 31.06%