Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 11

Nov 1, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

McDiarmid Park

St Johnstone
2 - 1
Kilmarnock

Clark (1', 7')
Kane (75'), Mitov (88')
Costelloe (76')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Vassell (47')
Wright (58'), Watson (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Scottish Premiership clash between St Johnstone and Kilmarnock, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

St Johnstone

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 4-0 St Johnstone
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Aberdeen
Sunday, October 29 at 12pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: St Johnstone 0-2 Kilmarnock

St Johnstone might have the home advantage in this fixture, but that will not make them the favourites heading into this match. The visitors are in good form at the moment and Kilmarnock are likely to continue that strong run as they continue progressing up the table. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 42.08%. A win for St Johnstone had a probability of 30.55% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.55%) and 0-2 (7.88%). The likeliest St Johnstone win was 1-0 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
St Johnstone	Draw	Kilmarnock
30.55% ( 0.36)	27.36% ( 0.01)	42.08% ( -0.38)

Both teams to score 48.57% (

0.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

43.23% (

0.06)

56.76% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.29% (

0.05)

77.71% (

-0.05)

St Johnstone Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

0.3)

33.8% (

-0.3)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

0.33)

70.47% (

-0.33)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.37% (

-0.18)

26.63% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.14% (

-0.23)

61.86% (

0.23)

Score Analysis

St Johnstone 30.55%

Kilmarnock 42.08%

Draw 27.35%

St Johnstone	Draw	Kilmarnock
1-0 @ 9.76% ( 0.06) 2-1 @ 7.01% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 5.29% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( 0.04) 3-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 1.68% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.37% Total : 30.55%	1-1 @ 12.91% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.64% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.35%	0-1 @ 11.91% ( -0.08) 1-2 @ 8.55% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 7.88% ( -0.1) 1-3 @ 3.77% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.48% ( -0.06) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.25% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.06% Total : 42.08%