Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 20
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
Kilmac Stadium at Dens Park
We said: Dundee 0-2 Celtic
A well-rested Dundee command plenty of respect from their visitors as they try to launch an assault on the European places, and a few Celtic eyes may already be fixed on the impending visit of Rangers.
However, it has been over 22 years since Celtic were bested by their Boxing Day hosts, and while inconsistency is still a major problem for Rodgers's side, they should encounter few obstacles en route to victory this week.
Read more.
Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celtic win with a probability of 56.84% . A win for Dundee had a probability of 22.37% and a draw had a probability of 20.8% .
The most likely scoreline for a Celtic win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (7.63%) and 0-1 (7.22%) . The likeliest Dundee win was 2-1 (5.77%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.13%) . The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Celtic would win this match.
Result Dundee Draw Celtic 22.37% ( 0.75) 20.78% ( 0.52) 56.84% ( -1.28)
Both teams to score 63.05% ( -0.84)
65.54% ( -1.56) 34.45% ( 1.56)
43.62% ( -1.78) 56.37% ( 1.77)
71.73% ( -0.26) 28.26% ( 0.26)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 36.02% ( -0.33) 63.97% ( 0.32)
87.89% ( -0.84) 12.1% ( 0.84)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 62.34% ( -1.81) 37.66% ( 1.81)
Dundee 22.37%
Celtic 56.84%
Draw 20.78%
Dundee Draw Celtic 2-1 @ 5.77% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 4.32% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 2.73% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.57% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 1.15% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.41% Total : 22.37% 1-1 @ 9.13% ( 0.36) 2-2 @ 6.09% ( -0) 0-0 @ 3.42% ( 0.27) 3-3 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.34% Total : 20.78% 1-2 @ 9.64% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 7.63% ( 0.11) 0-1 @ 7.22% ( 0.34) 1-3 @ 6.78% ( -0.18) 0-3 @ 5.37% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.15) 1-4 @ 3.58% ( -0.22) 0-4 @ 2.83% ( -0.16) 2-4 @ 2.26% ( -0.16) 1-5 @ 1.51% ( -0.15) 0-5 @ 1.2% ( -0.11) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.1) 3-4 @ 0.95% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.84%
How you voted: Dundee vs Celtic
31
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-13 03:47:21
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