Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 23

Jan 27, 2024 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Hibernian

Vente (25' og.), Kennedy (54')
Wright (17'), Kennedy (90')
Ndaba (73')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Newell (66'), Maolida (81')
Marcondes (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Hibernian, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Scottish Cup

Goals
for

Top scorers

Hibernian

All competitions

Scottish Premiership

Last Game: Hibernian 0-3 Rangers
Wednesday, January 24 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 2-0 Hibernian

Kilmarnock's superb home form makes them favourites for this clash, and they should continue their push for Europe with another win. Hibs have some key players absent at present and made a disappointing return to action at home in the week, so could find it difficult again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 48.79%. A win for Hibernian had a probability of 26.11% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.69%). The likeliest Hibernian win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.93%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Hibernian
48.79% ( 0.13)	25.1% ( -0.03)	26.11% ( -0.09)

Both teams to score 52.54% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.74% (

0.07)

50.26% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.78% (

0.06)

72.21% (

-0.06)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.38% (

0.08)

20.62% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.82% (

0.13)

53.18% (

-0.12)

Hibernian Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.19% (

-0.04)

33.81% (

0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.53% (

-0.04)

70.47% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 48.79%

Hibernian 26.11%

Draw 25.09%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Hibernian
1-0 @ 11% 2-1 @ 9.42% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.96% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.81% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.63% Total : 48.79%	1-1 @ 11.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.97% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.11% 3-3 @ 0.97% ( 0) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.09%	0-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 6.47% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 4.1% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.34% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.85% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.48% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.3% Total : 26.11%