Scottish Premiership

Scottish Premiership | Gameweek 21

Dec 30, 2023 at 3pm UK

Rugby Park

Kilmarnock
2 - 2
Dundee

Wright (85'), McKenzie (90+3')
Kennedy (24'), Donnelly (83'), (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-1)

McCowan (35'), Shaughnessy (90+5')
Boateng (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Scottish Premiership clash between Kilmarnock and Dundee, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Kilmarnock

All competitions

Last Game: St Mirren 0-1 Kilmarnock
Wednesday, December 27 at 7.45pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dundee

All competitions

Last Game: Dundee 0-3 Celtic
Tuesday, December 26 at 3pm in Scottish Premiership

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Kilmarnock 2-0 Dundee

Kilmarnock will feel confident of extending their excellent record in the league to five wins from six here against a Dundee side faltering slightly. Despite a strong recent record against Killie, the visitors were completely dominated by Celtic earlier this week and could find it tough again. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kilmarnock win with a probability of 43.41%. A win for Dundee had a probability of 29.89% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Kilmarnock win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.81%) and 2-0 (7.97%). The likeliest Dundee win was 0-1 (9.12%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Kilmarnock	Draw	Dundee
43.41% ( -0)	26.7% ( 0.01)	29.89% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 50.23% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

45.5% (

-0.05)

54.5% (

0.05)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

24.14% (

-0.04)

75.85% (

0.04)

Kilmarnock Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.09% (

-0.02)

24.91% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.47% (

-0.03)

59.53% (

0.03)

Dundee Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.89% (

-0.03)

33.1% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.3% (

-0.04)

69.7% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Kilmarnock 43.41%

Dundee 29.89%

Draw 26.7%

Kilmarnock	Draw	Dundee
1-0 @ 11.46% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 8.81% ( -0) 2-0 @ 7.97% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 3.69% 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.42% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0) Other @ 2.45% Total : 43.41%	1-1 @ 12.67% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.25% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.87% ( -0) Other @ 0.92% Total : 26.7%	0-1 @ 9.12% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.04% 1-3 @ 2.58% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.89%