Segunda Division | 2nd Leg

Jun 8, 2023 at 8pm UK

Estadio de Mendizorroza

Alaves
2 - 0
Eibar

(Alaves win 3-1 on aggregate)

Rebbach (1'), Villalibre (88')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Segunda Division clash between Alaves and Eibar, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Eibar

All competitions

Last Game: Eibar 1-1 Alaves
Saturday, June 3 at 5.30pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Alaves 2-1 Eibar (Alaves to win 3-2 on aggregate)

After playing out a 1-1 draw in the first leg, we expect Thursday's contest to be another close-fought encounter, but we think home advantage could prove decisive for an Alaves side that have lost just one league game at Mendizorroza this season, and as a result, we expect them to claim a narrow victory against Eibar in the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alaves win with a probability of 40.22%. A draw had a probability of 30.8% and a win for Eibar had a probability of 28.96%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alaves win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.31%) and 2-1 (7.32%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.86%), while for a Eibar win it was 0-1 (12.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Alaves would win this match.

Result
Alaves	Draw	Eibar
40.22% ( 0.77)	30.83% ( 0.07)	28.96% ( -0.85)

Both teams to score 38.97% (

-0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

31.69% (

-0.4)

68.31% (

0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

13.86% (

-0.26)

86.14% (

0.26)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.55% (

0.27)

33.44% (

-0.27)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.93% (

0.29)

70.08% (

-0.29)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.56% (

-0.92)

41.44% (

0.92)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.05% (

-0.82)

77.95% (

0.82)

Score Analysis

Alaves 40.22%

Eibar 28.95%

Draw 30.82%

Alaves	Draw	Eibar
1-0 @ 15.18% ( 0.33) 2-0 @ 8.31% ( 0.24) 2-1 @ 7.32% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 3.04% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.67% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.51% Total : 40.22%	0-0 @ 13.86% ( 0.21) 1-1 @ 13.37% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.37% Total : 30.82%	0-1 @ 12.2% ( -0.14) 1-2 @ 5.89% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.38% ( -0.2) 1-3 @ 1.73% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 0.95% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.23% Total : 28.95%