Segunda Division | 1st Leg

Jun 3, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Ipurúa

Eibar
1 - 1
Alaves

(Alaves win 3-1 on aggregate)

Stoichkov (45+1')
Berrocal (30'), Blanco (40'), Munoz (48'), Arbilla (60')
Arbilla (73')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Sylla (9')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Segunda Division clash between Eibar and Alaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Eibar

All competitions

Last Game: Huesca 0-1 Eibar
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Alaves

All competitions

Last Game: Las Palmas 0-0 Alaves
Saturday, May 27 at 8pm in Segunda Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

There is not much to choose between these two teams in terms of quality, and we are expecting both legs to be incredibly tight, with penalties potentially ultimately being needed to separate them. Eibar will be hoping to secure a first-leg advantage, but we believe that Alaves will be able to secure a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Eibar win with a probability of 50.46%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 20.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Eibar win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.29%) and 2-1 (7.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.6%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (9.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Eibar	Draw	Alaves
50.46% ( 0.22)	29.1% ( 0.51)	20.44% ( -0.73)

Both teams to score 36.7% (

-1.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.2% (

-1.91)

67.8% (

1.91)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.2% (

-1.29)

85.8% (

1.29)

Eibar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.44% (

-0.81)

27.56% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.92% (

-1.06)

63.08% (

1.06)

Alaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

50.66% (

-1.96)

49.34% (

1.97)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

15.8% (

-1.43)

84.2% (

1.43)

Score Analysis

Eibar 50.45%

Alaves 20.44%

Draw 29.1%

Eibar	Draw	Alaves
1-0 @ 17.52% ( 0.81) 2-0 @ 11.29% ( 0.28) 2-1 @ 7.98% ( -0.25) 3-0 @ 4.85% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 3.43% ( -0.19) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 1.21% ( -0.14) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.51% Total : 50.45%	0-0 @ 13.6% ( 0.93) 1-1 @ 12.38% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 2.82% ( -0.26) Other @ 0.3% Total : 29.1%	0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.29) 0-2 @ 3.39% ( -0.14) 1-3 @ 1.03% ( -0.13) Other @ 2.03% Total : 20.44%