Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 7

Sep 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

AC Milan
1 - 2
Napoli

Giroud (69')
Kjaer (18'), Calabria (45'), Krunic (53'), Tomori (74')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Politano (55' pen.), Simeone (78')
Rrahmani (63'), Simeone (70'), Zerbin (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between AC Milan and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

AC Milan

Last Six:

Last Game: AC Milan 3-1 Dinamo Zagreb
Wednesday, September 14 at 5.45pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
2	Atalanta BC	6	7	14
3	AC Milan	6	6	14
4	Udinese	6	6	13

Napoli

Last Six:

Last Game: Rangers 0-3 Napoli
Wednesday, September 14 at 8pm in Champions League

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Napoli	6	9	14
2	Atalanta BC	6	7	14
3	AC Milan	6	6	14

Despite the disappointment of Leao and Osimhen having to watch on from the stands, both sides have numerous routes to goal and should both score at least once. The Rossoneri may inflict Napoli's first defeat of the season, though, thanks to the winning mentality that made them champions in May. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 35.82%. A win for Napoli had a probability of 35.56% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.56%) and 2-0 (6.69%). The likeliest Napoli win was 0-1 (11.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.31%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.

Result
AC Milan	Draw	Napoli
35.82% ( 0.26)	28.62% ( 0.19)	35.56% ( -0.46)

Both teams to score 45.95% (

-0.57)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.49% (

-0.69)

60.51% (

0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.37% (

-0.52)

80.62% (

0.52)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.87% (

-0.18)

32.12% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.4% (

-0.21)

68.6% (

0.21)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.71% (

-0.65)

32.29% (

0.65)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.2% (

-0.74)

68.8% (

0.74)

Score Analysis

AC Milan 35.82%

Napoli 35.55%

Draw 28.61%

AC Milan	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.25) 2-1 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 6.69% ( 0.11) 3-1 @ 2.86% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 2.53% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.78% Total : 35.82%	1-1 @ 13.31% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 10.37% ( 0.27) 2-2 @ 4.27% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.66% Total : 28.61%	0-1 @ 11.72% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.53% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 6.63% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.84% ( -0.09) 0-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.74% Total : 35.55%