Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 54.74%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 21.12%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.2%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 1-0 (6.8%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
21.12% ( 0.07) | 24.13% ( 0.16) | 54.74% ( -0.24) |
Both teams to score 49.9% ( -0.39) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.01% ( -0.57) | 50.98% ( 0.56) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.14% ( -0.5) | 72.85% ( 0.5) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.24% ( -0.25) | 38.75% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.51% ( -0.23) | 75.49% ( 0.23) |
Atalanta BC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.47% ( -0.3) | 18.52% ( 0.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.24% ( -0.51) | 49.75% ( 0.5) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Atalanta BC |
1-0 @ 6.8% ( 0.11) 2-1 @ 5.44% ( -0) 2-0 @ 3.23% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 1.72% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 1.45% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.02% ( 0) Other @ 1.47% Total : 21.12% | 1-1 @ 11.47% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.9% Total : 24.13% | 0-1 @ 12.1% ( 0.16) 0-2 @ 10.2% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 9.67% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.74% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 5.44% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.58% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 2.42% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 2.29% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.21% Total : 54.73% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 36 | 29 | 5 | 2 | 86 | 19 | 67 | 92 |
2 | AC Milan | 36 | 22 | 8 | 6 | 72 | 43 | 29 | 74 |
3 | Bologna | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 51 | 27 | 24 | 67 |
4 | Juventus | 36 | 18 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 28 | 21 | 67 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 35 | 19 | 6 | 10 | 65 | 39 | 26 | 63 |
6 | Roma | 36 | 17 | 9 | 10 | 63 | 44 | 19 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 36 | 18 | 5 | 13 | 47 | 37 | 10 | 59 |
8 | Fiorentina | 35 | 15 | 8 | 12 | 53 | 40 | 13 | 53 |
9 | Napoli | 36 | 13 | 12 | 11 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 51 |
10 | Torino | 36 | 12 | 14 | 10 | 33 | 32 | 1 | 50 |
11 | Genoa | 36 | 11 | 13 | 12 | 43 | 44 | -1 | 46 |
12 | Monza | 36 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 39 | 48 | -9 | 45 |
13 | Lecce | 36 | 8 | 13 | 15 | 32 | 52 | -20 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 36 | 8 | 10 | 18 | 34 | 48 | -14 | 34 |
15 | Udinese | 36 | 5 | 18 | 13 | 35 | 52 | -17 | 33 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 36 | 7 | 12 | 17 | 38 | 65 | -27 | 33 |
17 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 36 | 7 | 11 | 18 | 43 | 68 | -25 | 32 |
18 | Empoli | 36 | 8 | 8 | 20 | 26 | 52 | -26 | 32 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 36 | 7 | 8 | 21 | 42 | 72 | -30 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 36 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 28 | 76 | -48 | 16 |
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