Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 20, 2022 at 11.30am UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Atalanta

Piatek (56')
Milenkovic (15'), Amrabat (73')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Djimsiti (13'), Malinovskyi (45+1'), Demiral (45+2'), Toloi (74'), Sportiello (90+6')
Piero Gasperini (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

We said: Fiorentina 1-2 Atalanta BC

An Atalanta squad which has lost direction since the turn of the year arrive at the Franchi having put together two good results since their Coppa Italia exit at the hands of the Viola. As a result - and due to Fiorentina's defensive deficiencies - they can continue their gradual return to form and extend a superb away record by picking up three points towards the top four chase. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 46.74%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 29.78% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.02%) and 0-2 (6.95%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 2-1 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Atalanta BC
29.78%	23.49%	46.74%

Both teams to score 60.77%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.29%

40.71%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.9%

63.09%

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.82%

26.18%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.74%

61.26%

Atalanta BC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.31%

17.69%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.67%

48.32%

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 29.78%

Atalanta BC 46.74%

Draw 23.49%

Fiorentina	Draw	Atalanta BC
2-1 @ 7.2% 1-0 @ 6.21% 2-0 @ 4.16% 3-1 @ 3.22% 3-2 @ 2.79% 3-0 @ 1.86% 4-1 @ 1.08% 4-2 @ 0.93% Other @ 2.33% Total : 29.78%	1-1 @ 10.75% 2-2 @ 6.24% 0-0 @ 4.63% 3-3 @ 1.61% Other @ 0.26% Total : 23.49%	1-2 @ 9.31% 0-1 @ 8.02% 0-2 @ 6.95% 1-3 @ 5.38% 0-3 @ 4.01% 2-3 @ 3.6% 1-4 @ 2.33% 0-4 @ 1.74% 2-4 @ 1.56% Other @ 3.84% Total : 46.74%