Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 19

Jan 21, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
0 - 1
Torino

Saponara (45'), Duncan (50')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Miranchuk (33')
Ricci (45'), Sanabria (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Fiorentina and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Torino

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Torino 0-1 Spezia
Sunday, January 15 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Fiorentina 1-1 Torino

Among teams inside the top half of the Serie A table, Fiorentina and Torino have the worst shot conversion rates - both less than 9% - so a low-scoring draw could be on the cards. Both sides lack an in-form finisher, so expect a close-fought affair at the Franchi. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 59.94%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Torino had a probability of 18%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.68%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.48%), while for a Torino win it was 0-1 (5.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Torino
59.94% ( -0.49)	22.06% ( 0.08)	18% ( 0.4)

Both teams to score 51.25% (

0.51)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.39% (

0.29)

46.61% (

-0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.12% (

0.27)

68.88% (

-0.27)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.86% (

-0.06)

15.14% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.29% (

-0.12)

43.71% (

0.11)

Torino Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.39% (

0.64)

39.61% (

-0.64)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.71% (

0.59)

76.29% (

-0.59)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 59.93%

Torino 18%

Draw 22.05%

Fiorentina	Draw	Torino
1-0 @ 11.31% ( -0.17) 2-0 @ 10.68% ( -0.18) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.73% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 6.23% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 3.18% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 2.94% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.88% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.36% ( 0.02) 5-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.41% Total : 59.93%	1-1 @ 10.48% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6% ( -0.07) 2-2 @ 4.58% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.99% Total : 22.05%	0-1 @ 5.55% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 4.85% ( 0.1) 0-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.11% Total : 18%