Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 29

Apr 7, 2023 at 6pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 2
Napoli

Di Francesco (52')
Gendrey (62'), Umtiti (86')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Di Lorenzo (18'), Gallo (64' og.)
Ndombele (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Empoli 1-0 Lecce
Monday, April 3 at 6.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 0-4 AC Milan
Sunday, April 2 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Goal-shy Lecce are perhaps the ideal opponents for Napoli to face following their implosion last weekend. If they quickly return to keeping the back door shut, the league leaders should secure victory at Via del Mare, where their hosts have not won since January. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 69.49%. A draw had a probability of 19.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 11.16%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 13.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (13.51%) and 0-3 (9.4%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.09%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (4.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Napoli
11.16% ( -0.01)	19.35% ( 0.05)	69.49% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 42.63% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.04% (

-0.23)

48.96% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.95% (

-0.21)

71.05% (

0.21)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

48.98% (

-0.17)

51.02% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

14.65% (

-0.11)

85.35% (

0.11)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.04% (

-0.08)

12.96% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.56% (

-0.16)

39.44% (

0.16)

Score Analysis

Lecce 11.16%

Napoli 69.49%

Draw 19.35%

Lecce	Draw	Napoli
1-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 3.06% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 1.5% ( -0) Other @ 2.16% Total : 11.16%	1-1 @ 9.09% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.61% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.52% Total : 19.35%	0-2 @ 13.8% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 13.51% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 9.4% ( 0) 1-2 @ 9.29% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 6.33% ( -0.03) 0-4 @ 4.8% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 3.23% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 0-5 @ 1.96% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 1.32% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.09% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.62% Total : 69.49%