Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 60.81%. A draw had a probability of 20.2% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 18.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.83%) and 0-1 (8.24%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.19%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 2-1 (5.13%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 3.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result | ||
Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
18.95% | 20.23% | 60.81% |
Both teams to score 59.34% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.21% | 36.79% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.04% | 58.96% |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.23% | 32.77% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.67% | 69.33% |
Napoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.26% | 11.74% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.12% | 36.88% |
Score Analysis |
Sampdoria | Draw | Napoli |
2-1 @ 5.13% 1-0 @ 4.29% 2-0 @ 2.39% 3-2 @ 2.04% 3-1 @ 1.91% Other @ 3.19% Total : 18.95% | 1-1 @ 9.19% 2-2 @ 5.49% 0-0 @ 3.85% 3-3 @ 1.46% Other @ 0.24% Total : 20.23% | 1-2 @ 9.85% 0-2 @ 8.83% 0-1 @ 8.24% 1-3 @ 7.03% 0-3 @ 6.3% 2-3 @ 3.92% 1-4 @ 3.77% 0-4 @ 3.38% 2-4 @ 2.1% 1-5 @ 1.61% 0-5 @ 1.45% 2-5 @ 0.9% Other @ 3.43% Total : 60.81% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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