Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 26, 2023 at 5pm UK

Dacia Arena

Udinese
2 - 2
Spezia

Beto (22'), Pereyra (55')
Ehizibue (58'), Becao (62')

FT(HT: 1-1)

N'Zola (6', 72')
Nikolaou (76'), Shomurodov (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Udinese and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Udinese

All competitions

Last Game: Inter Milan 3-1 Udinese
Saturday, February 18 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Juventus
Sunday, February 19 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

With both teams struggling for wins in recent times, we can envisage a share of the spoils between two sides lacking confidence at present. Udinese have drawn five of their last seven matches at home, while Spezia are likely to be desperate to impress their new manager by avoiding defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Udinese	Draw	Spezia
59.51% ( 0.15)	22.01% ( -0.16)	18.48% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 52.3% (

0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.34% (

0.69)

45.65% (

-0.69)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.02% (

0.66)

67.98% (

-0.66)

Udinese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.04% (

0.28)

14.96% (

-0.28)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.63% (

0.54)

43.37% (

-0.54)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.5% (

0.41)

38.5% (

-0.41)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.75% (

0.39)

75.25% (

-0.39)

Score Analysis

Udinese 59.51%

Spezia 18.48%

Draw 22%

Udinese	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.51%	1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22%	0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.48%