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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2023 at 10.30am UK
Antalya Stadyumu

Antalyaspor
2 - 1
Karagumruk

Sari (7'), Buksa (13')
Sahin (7'), Sari (22'), Yehezkel (54'), Dadakdeniz (67'), Buksa (90+3')
Rakip (45+3')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Yalcin (42')
Shukurov (6'), Yalcin (22'), Mercan (30'), Biraschi (57'), Rohden (75'), Ceccherini (90+2'), Sturaro (90+6')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hatayspor 3-3 Antalyaspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Karagumruk 3-0 Istanbulspor
Friday, December 1 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

We said: Antalyaspor 1-0 Fatih Karagumruk

Antalyaspor have a lot of belief at the moment, which can be seen in their recent results. The Scorpions also have a good home record this season, only losing to league leaders Fenerbahce. Karagumruk are also in a good moment, but their away form has been poor, picking up only five points from a possible 18. They also tend to struggle against Antalyaspor, failing to beat the hosts since 2021. We expect a close game; however, Antalyaspor have the quality to edge it out in the end. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Antalyaspor win with a probability of 59.05%. A draw had a probability of 22.6% and a win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 18.32%.

The most likely scoreline for an Antalyaspor win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.83%) and 2-1 (9.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.76%), while for a Fatih Karagumruk win it was 0-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Antalyaspor would win this match.

Result
AntalyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
59.05% (0.20200000000001 0.2) 22.63% (-0.062999999999999 -0.06) 18.32% (-0.14 -0.14)
Both teams to score 50.05% (-0.061 -0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.49% (0.048999999999999 0.05)48.51% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.36% (0.043000000000003 0.04)70.64% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)
Antalyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.92% (0.084000000000003 0.08)16.08% (-0.084 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.53% (0.15499999999999 0.15)45.47% (-0.15499999999999 -0.15)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.64% (-0.133 -0.13)40.36% (0.133 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.02% (-0.121 -0.12)76.98% (0.122 0.12)
Score Analysis
    Antalyaspor 59.05%
    Fatih Karagumruk 18.32%
    Draw 22.62%
AntalyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 11.86% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.83% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-1 @ 9.83% (0.0019999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 6.6% (0.044 0.04)
3-1 @ 5.99% (0.018 0.02)
4-0 @ 3.02% (0.029 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.74% (0.016 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.24% (0.0029999999999999 0)
5-0 @ 1.1% (0.014 0.01)
5-1 @ 1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 59.05%
1-1 @ 10.76% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 6.49% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.46% (-0.016 -0.02)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 22.62%
0-1 @ 5.89% (-0.033 -0.03)
1-2 @ 4.88% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
0-2 @ 2.67% (-0.025 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.48% (-0.015 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.35% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 18.32%

Head to Head
Apr 29, 2023 2pm
Nov 6, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 13
Antalyaspor
4-2
Karagumruk
Wright (35'), Vural (41', 84'), Sari (45+2')
Colley (4'), Diagne (19')
Feb 13, 2022 1pm
Gameweek 25
Antalyaspor
3-0
Karagumruk
Fernando (17'), Kudryashov (30'), Mehmedi (85')
Mehmedi (71')

Bistrovic (58'), Biglia (68'), Viviano (71')
Sep 21, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 6
Karagumruk
0-0
Antalyaspor
Ugur (40'), Durmaz (44'), Arveladze (85'), Balkovec (87')
Wright (28'), Crivelli (48')
Apr 28, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 38
Karagumruk
2-2
Antalyaspor
Albayrak (13' og.), Borini (24')
Bertolacci (49'), Roco (62'), Zukanovic (87'), Castro (89')
Fredy (34' pen.), Amilton (90+3')
Akyol (45'), Boffin (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CGalatasarayGalatasaray383332922666102
2Fenerbahce38316199316899
3TrabzonsporTrabzonspor382141369501967
4Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul381871357431461
5BesiktasBesiktas38168145247556
6KasimpasaKasimpasa38168146265-356
7SivassporSivasspor381412124754-754
8AlanyasporAlanyaspor381216105350352
9Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor38148164858-1050
10AntalyasporAntalyaspor381213134449-549
11Adana Demirspor381014145461-744
12GaziantepGaziantep38128185057-744
13Samsunspor381110174252-1043
14KayserisporKayserispor381112154457-1342
15Hatayspor38914154552-741
16KonyasporKonyaspor38914154053-1341
RFatih KaragumrukKaragumruk381010184952-340
RAnkaragucuAnkaragucu38816144652-640
RPendikspor38910194273-3137
RIstanbulspor3847272780-5316


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