Besiktas will be keen to end their poor run of results at home and an opponent like Karagumruk presents the perfect opportunity to do that. The visitors will also come into this with a lot of confidence after their win last time out and a knowledge of the hosts' poor home form. However, we think the Black Eagles will have too much for the Black Red to handle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Besiktas win with a probability of 50.7%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 25.4% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Besiktas win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 0-1 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.27%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Besiktas would win this match.

Result
Besiktas	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
50.7% ( 0.21)	23.9% ( -0.01)	25.4% ( -0.2)

Both teams to score 55.74% (

-0.19)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.26% (

-0.15)

45.74% (

0.16)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

31.94% (

-0.14)

68.05% (

0.15)

Besiktas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.92% (

0.02)

18.08% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51% (

0.04)

49% (

-0.04)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.04% (

-0.24)

31.96% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.58% (

-0.28)

68.42% (

0.28)

Score Analysis

Besiktas 50.7%

Fatih Karagumruk 25.4%

Draw 23.9%

Besiktas	Draw	Fatih Karagumruk
1-0 @ 9.88% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.45% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 5.5% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 4.82% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 3.14% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.06% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.52% Total : 50.7%	1-1 @ 11.27% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.78% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.9%	0-1 @ 6.59% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 3.76% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.09% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.65% Total : 25.4%