Taca de Portugal | Final

Jun 4, 2023 at 5.15pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
0 - 2
Porto

Horta (29'), Borja (35'), Gomez (66'), Bruma (85')
Niakate (79')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Horta (53' og.), Otavio (81')
Otavio (25'), Galeno (60'), Conceicao (66'), Uribe (72'), Taremi (76'), Pepe (85')
Wendell (62')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Taca de Portugal clash between Braga and Porto, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Braga 3-0 Pacos de Ferreira
Saturday, May 27 at 8.30pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Porto

All competitions

Taca de Portugal

Last Game: Porto 3-0 Guimaraes
Saturday, May 27 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Carrying an 11-game winning streak into Sunday's showpiece, Porto look set to defend their Taca de Portugal crown at the expense of Braga, who will likely struggle to deal with the Dragons' attacking firepower. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 38.57%. A win for Porto had a probability of 35.02% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.38%) and 2-0 (6.66%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Porto would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Porto
38.57% ( -0.02)	26.4% ( 0.18)	35.02% ( -0.16)

Both teams to score 52.77% (

-0.61)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.02% (

-0.76)

51.98% (

0.76)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.28% (

-0.67)

73.72% (

0.66)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.68% (

-0.37)

26.31% (

0.36)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.56% (

-0.49)

61.44% (

0.49)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.62% (

-0.47)

28.38% (

0.46)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.87% (

-0.59)

64.12% (

0.59)

Score Analysis

Braga 38.57%

Porto 35.02%

Draw 26.39%

Braga	Draw	Porto
1-0 @ 9.97% ( 0.2) 2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.66% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 3.73% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 2.96% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.35% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.25% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 0.99% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.57%	1-1 @ 12.55% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.47% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39%	0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.16) 1-2 @ 7.91% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 5.92% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.32% ( -0.06) 0-3 @ 2.49% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.07) 1-4 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.02%