Ukrainian Premier League | Gameweek 28

May 11, 2024 at 4pm UK

KSK Nika

Shakhtar
1 - 0
Dynamo Kiev

Sudakov (33' pen.)
Sudakov (27'), Matviyenko (41'), Konoplya (90+4')
de Sousa Lemos (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vanat (70'), Yarmolenko (87'), Shaparenko (90+3')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Ukrainian Premier League clash between Shakhtar Donetsk and Dynamo Kiev.

Form, Standings, Stats

Shakhtar Donetsk

All competitions

Last Game: Shakhtar 3-0 Chornomorets
Sunday, May 5 at 4pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Dynamo Kiev

All competitions

Last Game: Dynamo Kiev 5-0 Kovalivka
Sunday, May 5 at 1.30pm in Ukrainian Premier League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shakhtar Donetsk win with a probability of 50.36%. A win for Dynamo Kiev had a probability of 26.85% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shakhtar Donetsk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.55%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.03%) and 2-0 (7.39%). The likeliest Dynamo Kiev win was 1-2 (6.69%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shakhtar Donetsk would win this match.

Result
Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
50.36% ( 0.02)	22.78% ( 0)	26.85% ( -0.02)

Both teams to score 61.01% (

-0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.6% (

-0.03)

39.39% (

0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.26% (

-0.03)

61.73% (

0.03)

Shakhtar Donetsk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.15% (

-0)

15.84% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.96% (

-0.01)

45.03% (

0.01)

Dynamo Kiev Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.5% (

-0.03)

27.5% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37% (

-0.04)

63% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Shakhtar Donetsk 50.36%

Dynamo Kiev 26.85%

Draw 22.78%

Shakhtar Donetsk	Draw	Dynamo Kiev
2-1 @ 9.55% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.03% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 7.39% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.86% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.54% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.7% 4-0 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1% Other @ 3.68% Total : 50.36%	1-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 6.16% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.36% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 22.78%	1-2 @ 6.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.62% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.63% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.88% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.65% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.56% ( -0) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.89% Total : 26.85%