Defensor

2 - 2

Nacional

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 47.28%. A win for Defensor Sporting had a probability of 27.04% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.25%) and 0-2 (8.57%). The likeliest Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.