Maldonado

2 - 0

Fenix

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Deportivo Maldonado win with a probability of 36.1%. A win for Fenix had a probability of 35.11% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Deportivo Maldonado win was 1-0 with a probability of 12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.55%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Fenix win was 0-1 (11.79%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Deportivo Maldonado would win this match.