MX23RW : Tuesday, June 11 16:57:52| >> :300:86500:86500:
Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 15
Oct 23, 2022 at 11.30pm UK
Estadio Gran Parque Central

Nacional
2 - 0
Danubio

Fagundez (5'), Suarez (45')
Ginella (55'), (90+3')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Hernandez (32'), May (90')
Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Nacional and Danubio.

Form, Standings, Stats

Nacional

All competitions
Last Game: Cerrito 1-2 Nacional
Tuesday, October 18 at 12.30am in Uruguayan Primera Division

Danubio

All competitions
Last Game: Danubio 3-0 Albion
Sunday, October 16 at 7.30pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nacional win with a probability of 54.09%. A draw had a probability of 26.9% and a win for Danubio had a probability of 18.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.82%) and 2-1 (8.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12%), while for a Danubio win it was 0-1 (8.32%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nacional would win this match.

Result
NacionalDrawDanubio
54.09% (-0.42 -0.42) 26.93% (0.004999999999999 0) 18.97% (0.413 0.41)
Both teams to score 39.63% (0.552 0.55)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.03% (0.389 0.39)62.96% (-0.38999999999999 -0.39)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
17.56% (0.281 0.28)82.44% (-0.28100000000001 -0.28)
Nacional Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.36% (-0.012999999999991 -0.01)23.63% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.27% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)57.72% (0.018999999999998 0.02)
Danubio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
51.89% (0.729 0.73)48.11% (-0.73 -0.73)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
16.69% (0.528 0.53)83.31% (-0.53 -0.53)
Score Analysis
    Nacional 54.08%
    Danubio 18.97%
    Draw 26.92%
NacionalDrawDanubio
1-0 @ 16.4% (-0.24 -0.24)
2-0 @ 11.82% (-0.19 -0.19)
2-1 @ 8.66% (0.048 0.05)
3-0 @ 5.69% (-0.089 -0.09)
3-1 @ 4.16% (0.021 0.02)
4-0 @ 2.05% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.52% (0.039 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.5% (0.0069999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 54.08%
1-1 @ 12% (0.07 0.07)
0-0 @ 11.36% (-0.17 -0.17)
2-2 @ 3.17% (0.082 0.08)
Other @ 0.4%
Total : 26.92%
0-1 @ 8.32% (0.052000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 4.39% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 3.04% (0.081 0.08)
1-3 @ 1.07% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 2.15%
Total : 18.97%

Head to Head
Jun 25, 2022 7pm
Danubio
0-1
Nacional

Rea (24'), Vicente (90')
Luis Rodriguez (80')
Marichal (24'), Castro (57'), Laborda (73'), Carballo (90+4')
Jun 5, 2022 7pm
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
German Haller Piloni (6'), Rodriguez (72' pen.)
Fossati (13'), Rea (38'), Vicente (49'), Ferreira (76'), Rodriguez (84'), Navarro (90+3')
German Haller Piloni (12'), Rodriguez (84')
Fagundez (61')
Candido (51')
Mar 13, 2021 7.30pm
Danubio
2-1
Nacional
Siri (41'), Mendez (90+1')
Mendez (21'), Monzon (29'), Ichazo (90+7')
Vecino (23')
Vecino (37'), Corujo (44'), Orihuela (50')
Nov 21, 2020 10.30pm
Nacional
0-2
Danubio

Trasante (34'), Bergessio (63'), Martinez (90+5')
Laborda (62')
Labandeira (44'), Paiva (47')
Sosa (39'), Mendez (70')
Sep 14, 2020 12.15am
Nacional
2-0
Danubio
Dominguez (1' og.), Bergessio (55')
Mendez (26'), Rodriguez (46'), Yacob (90')
Mendez (28')

Ichazo (25'), Mederos (30'), Prieto (40'), Paiva (75')
Mederos (41')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
Group 1
1Montevideo WanderersWanderers11002023
2Defensor SportingDefensor11002023
3Racing de MontevideoRacing11002113
4ProgresoProgreso11001013
5FenixFenix100112-10
6River PlateRiver Plate100101-10
7Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado100102-20
8PenarolPenarol100102-20
Group 2
1CerroCerro11003033
2Miramar Misiones11001013
3DanubioDanubio10102201
4Cerro Largo10102201
5Boston RiverBoston River00000000
6Rampla JuniorsRampla00000000
7LiverpoolLiverpool100101-10
8NacionalNacional100103-30
 
Apertura
1PenarolPenarol1513203172441
2NacionalNacional15104131161534
3Defensor SportingDefensor1584331171428
4Boston RiverBoston River158342117427
5ProgresoProgreso157352525024
6Cerro Largo156361616021
7Racing de MontevideoRacing155462222019
8LiverpoolLiverpool154652224-218
9Montevideo WanderersWanderers155371520-518
10CerroCerro154561925-617
11Deportivo MaldonadoMaldonado154381419-515
12Rampla JuniorsRampla154381527-1215
13River PlateRiver Plate153572025-514
14DanubioDanubio153571319-614
15FenixFenix153481117-613
16Miramar Misiones152581828-1011
> Uruguayan Primera Division Full Table


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!