Uruguayan Primera Division | Gameweek 2

Jun 18, 2023 at 7.30pm UK

Estadio Campeon del Siglo

Penarol
1 - 3
River Plate

Hernandez (21')
Rodriguez (41'), Betancor (72'), Coelho (83')
Rodriguez (90+7')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Brunelli (42'), Barone (62', 68')
Brunelli (2'), Garcia (89')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Uruguayan Primera Division clash between Penarol and River Plate.

Form, Standings, Stats

Penarol

All competitions

Uruguayan Primera Division

Last Game: Penarol 0-3 Defensa
Tuesday, June 6 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana

Goals
for

Top scorers

River Plate

All competitions

Last Game: River Plate 0-1 Boston River
Sunday, June 4 at 7pm in Uruguayan Primera Division

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Penarol win with a probability of 48.76%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for River Plate had a probability of 23.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Penarol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.03%) and 2-1 (8.73%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.65%), while for a River Plate win it was 0-1 (9.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood.

Result
Penarol	Draw	River Plate
48.76% ( -0.67)	27.55% ( 0.05)	23.69% ( 0.62)

Both teams to score 43.47% (

0.46)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.03% (

0.27)

60.96% (

-0.27)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.03% (

0.2)

80.97% (

-0.2)

Penarol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.81% (

-0.2)

25.19% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.08% (

-0.27)

59.92% (

0.27)

River Plate Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.11% (

0.76)

41.89% (

-0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.66% (

0.66)

78.34% (

-0.66)

Score Analysis

Penarol 48.75%

River Plate 23.69%

Draw 27.54%

Penarol	Draw	River Plate
1-0 @ 14.54% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 10.03% ( -0.21) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.61% ( -0.13) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.75% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.11% Total : 48.75%	1-1 @ 12.65% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 10.55% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 3.8% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.55% Total : 27.54%	0-1 @ 9.18% ( 0.1) 1-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( 0.13) 1-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.1% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.15% Total : 23.69%