Neither side has drawn a game in the top flight this term, and we think that trend will continue on Saturday, as we believe that Aston Villa will claim their third home WSL win of the season when they face a Tottenham side who have lost their last four league matches. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win with a probability of 42.91%. A win for Aston Villa Women had a probability of 32.53% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Tottenham Hotspur Ladies win was 1-2 with a probability of 9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.58%) and 0-2 (6.73%). The likeliest Aston Villa Women win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Aston Villa Women in this match.

Result
Aston Villa Women	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
32.53% ( 1.02)	24.55% ( -0.01)	42.91% ( -1.02)

Both teams to score 58.4% (

0.45)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.58% (

0.4)

44.42% (

-0.4)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.21% (

0.39)

66.79% (

-0.39)

Aston Villa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.74% (

0.83)

26.26% (

-0.83)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.63% (

1.1)

61.37% (

-1.1)

Tottenham Hotspur Ladies Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.2% (

-0.29)

20.8% (

0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.54% (

-0.46)

53.45% (

0.46)

Score Analysis

Aston Villa Women 32.53%

Tottenham Hotspur Ladies 42.91%

Draw 24.55%

Aston Villa Women	Draw	Tottenham Hotspur Ladies
2-1 @ 7.67% ( 0.16) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 4.88% ( 0.14) 3-1 @ 3.42% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( 0.1) 3-0 @ 2.18% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 1.14% ( 0.08) Other @ 3.26% Total : 32.53%	1-1 @ 11.46% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.02% ( 0.07) 0-0 @ 5.46% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.41% ( 0.04) Other @ 0.2% Total : 24.55%	1-2 @ 9% ( -0.1) 0-1 @ 8.58% ( -0.23) 0-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.24) 1-3 @ 4.71% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.16) 2-3 @ 3.15% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.85% ( -0.05) 0-4 @ 1.38% ( -0.08) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.74% Total : 42.91%