Africa Cup of Nations

Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying | Preliminary Round | 1st Leg

Mar 20, 2024 at 10pm UK

Stade de Marrakech

Djibouti
0 - 2
Liberia

(Liberia win 2-0 on aggregate)

FT(HT: 0-2)

Sangare (23' pen.), Dorley (35')

Preview

Data Analysis

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Africa Cup of Nations Qualifying clash between Djibouti and Liberia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Djibouti

Last Game: Eq Guinea 1-1 Djibouti
Tuesday, January 9 at 2pm in International Friendlies

Liberia

Last Game: Liberia 0-1 Eq Guinea
Monday, November 20 at 4pm in World Cup Qualifying - Africa

Liberia are the better side in this fixture and should edge this fixture. The game will be played in a neutral ground in Morocco, which means home support will be limited for Djibouti. However, it should be a close game as the hosts have improved since their last meeting. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liberia win with a probability of 42.14%. A win for Djibouti had a probability of 34.91% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liberia win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.41%) and 0-2 (5.56%). The likeliest Djibouti win was 2-1 (7.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liberia would win this match.

Result
Djibouti	Draw	Liberia
34.91% ( 0)	22.95% ( -0)	42.14% ( -0)

Both teams to score 65.11% (

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.02% (

35.98% (

-0)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.93% (

58.07% (

-0)

Djibouti Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.05%

20.94% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.31% (

53.69% (

-0)

Liberia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.36%

17.64% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.76%

48.24% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Djibouti 34.91%

Liberia 42.14%

Draw 22.95%

Djibouti	Draw	Liberia
2-1 @ 7.83% 1-0 @ 5.78% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.51% 3-1 @ 4.08% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.54% 3-0 @ 2.35% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.6% 4-2 @ 1.38% 4-0 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.92% Total : 34.91%	1-1 @ 10.02% 2-2 @ 6.8% 0-0 @ 3.69% ( -0) 3-3 @ 2.05% Other @ 0.39% Total : 22.95%	1-2 @ 8.69% ( -0) 0-1 @ 6.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.56% 1-3 @ 5.03% 2-3 @ 3.93% 0-3 @ 3.22% 1-4 @ 2.18% 2-4 @ 1.71% 0-4 @ 1.4% Other @ 4.02% Total : 42.14%