League Two

League Two | Gameweek 7

Sep 9, 2023 at 3pm UK

Stadium mk

MK Dons
1 - 1
Notts County

Harvie (46')
Smith (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Cameron (66')

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League Two clash between MK Dons and Notts County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

MK Dons

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Crewe 3-1 MK Dons
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

Top scorers

Notts County

All competitions

League Two

Last Game: Notts County 3-1 Accrington
Saturday, September 2 at 3pm in League Two

Goals
for

We said: MK Dons 2-2 Notts County

As the only team in the division to have won their last three league matches, the momentum is very much with the visitors ahead of this contest. However, their respective records suggest that this could be a back-and-forth goalfest, one which may end in a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Notts County win with a probability of 48.44%. A win for MK Dons had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Notts County win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.26%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest MK Dons win was 2-1 (6.95%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.71%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
MK Dons	Draw	Notts County
28.23% ( -0.12)	23.32% ( 0.02)	48.44% ( 0.1)

Both teams to score 60.23% (

-0.16)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

59.06% (

-0.17)

40.93% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.67% (

-0.18)

63.32% (

0.17)

MK Dons Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.67% (

-0.17)

27.33% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.22% (

-0.22)

62.78% (

0.22)

Notts County Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.88% (

-0.03)

17.12% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.66% (

-0.05)

47.33% (

0.05)

Score Analysis

MK Dons 28.23%

Notts County 48.44%

Draw 23.32%

MK Dons	Draw	Notts County
2-1 @ 6.95% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 6.07% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.94% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.65% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.94% Total : 28.23%	1-1 @ 10.71% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.24% Total : 23.32%	1-2 @ 9.45% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 8.26% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 7.29% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0) 0-3 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( -0) 0-4 @ 1.89% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( -0.01) Other @ 4.05% Total : 48.44%