European Under-19s Championship | Group Stage

Jul 6, 2023 at 5pm UK

MFA Centenary Stadium

Portugal U19s
5 - 1
Italy U19s

Ribeiro (35'), Sa (57'), Bras (68'), Felix (88'), Vasconcelos (90+1')
Ribeiro (42'), Justo (45+4')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Lipani (6')
Lipani (8'), Koleosho (72'), Ndour (76'), D'Andrea (90+4')
Lipani (44')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the European Under-19s Championship Group Stage clash between Portugal Under-19s and Italy Under-19s.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portugal Under-19s

All competitions

Last Game: Poland U19s 0-2 Portugal U19s
Monday, July 3 at 5pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy Under-19s	1	4	3
2	Portugal Under-19s	1	2	3
3	Poland Under-19s	1	-2	0
4	Malta Under-19s	1	-4	0

Italy Under-19s

All competitions

European Under-19s Championship

Last Game: Malta U19s 0-4 Italy U19s
Monday, July 3 at 8pm in European Under-19s Championship

Current Group A Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Italy Under-19s	1	4	3
2	Portugal Under-19s	1	2	3
3	Poland Under-19s	1	-2	0
4	Malta Under-19s	1	-4	0

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Italy Under-19s win with a probability of 56.59%. A draw had a probability of 22.9% and a win for Portugal Under-19s had a probability of 20.47%.

The most likely scoreline for a Italy Under-19s win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.93%) and 1-2 (9.86%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.88%), while for a Portugal Under-19s win it was 1-0 (6.01%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
Portugal Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
20.47% ( -27.06)	22.93% ( -2.9)	56.59% ( 29.97)

Both teams to score 52.67% (

1.94)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

53.17% (

6.02)

46.83% (

-6.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.91% (

5.38)

69.09% (

-5.38)

Portugal Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

62.95% (

-14.81)

37.05% (

14.82)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.17% (

-18.17)

73.83% (

18.18)

Italy Under-19s Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.67% (

18.44)

16.33% (

-18.43)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.07% (

25.57)

45.93% (

-25.56)

Score Analysis

Portugal Under-19s 20.47%

Italy Under-19s 56.59%

Draw 22.93%

Portugal Under-19s	Draw	Italy Under-19s
1-0 @ 6.01% ( -5.61) 2-1 @ 5.41% ( -3.83) 2-0 @ 2.98% ( -5.75) 3-1 @ 1.79% ( -2.84) 3-2 @ 1.62% ( -0.82) 3-0 @ 0.99% ( -3.39) Other @ 1.68% Total : 20.47%	1-1 @ 10.88% ( -1.39) 0-0 @ 6.05% ( -1.68) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.12) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22.93%	0-1 @ 10.96% ( 2.8) 0-2 @ 9.93% ( 5.62) 1-2 @ 9.86% ( 3.38) 0-3 @ 6% ( 4.48) 1-3 @ 5.96% ( 3.67) 2-3 @ 2.96% ( 1.24) 0-4 @ 2.72% ( 2.32) 1-4 @ 2.7% ( 2.09) 2-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.89) 0-5 @ 0.99% ( 0.9) 1-5 @ 0.98% ( 0.85) Other @ 2.2% Total : 56.59%