Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.74%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.
Result | ||
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
55.76% ( 0.57) | 24.49% ( -0.06) | 19.74% ( -0.52) |
Both teams to score 46.89% ( -0.59) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% ( -0.38) | 53.95% ( 0.38) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% ( -0.32) | 75.4% ( 0.31) |
FC Cincinnati Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.74% ( 0.08) | 19.25% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.02% ( 0.13) | 50.97% ( -0.13) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.07% ( -0.78) | 41.92% ( 0.78) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.63% ( -0.69) | 78.37% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
FC Cincinnati | Draw | New York Red Bulls |
1-0 @ 13.29% ( 0.22) 2-0 @ 10.95% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 6.02% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 5.23% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.48% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 2.27% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.9% Total : 55.75% | 1-1 @ 11.56% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 4.14% ( -0.1) Other @ 0.72% Total : 24.49% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.05) 1-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.46% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.99% Total : 19.74% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |