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FC Cincinnati
Major League Soccer
Apr 7, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Nippert Stadium
New York Red Bulls

Cincinnati
1 - 2
NY Red Bulls

Kubo (3')
Nwobodo (32'), Miazga (45+4'), Orellano (74')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Amaya (19'), Vanzeir (60')
Amaya (70'), Ngoma (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between FC Cincinnati and New York Red Bulls, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Charlotte FC 1-1 Cincinnati
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Orlando City 1-1 NY Red Bulls
Saturday, March 30 at 11.30pm in Major League Soccer

We said: FC Cincinnati 1-0 New York Red Bulls

Both sides are coming into this match following fairly underwhelming performances last weekend and will be looking for a better showing this week. There is very little to separate these two on paper but Cincinnati's defence, particularly at home, has been impressive and we feel they will be able to manage another shut out here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 55.76%. A draw had a probability of 24.5% and a win for New York Red Bulls had a probability of 19.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.95%) and 2-1 (9.52%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.56%), while for a New York Red Bulls win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.

Result
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
55.76% (0.575 0.57) 24.49% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06) 19.74% (-0.518 -0.52)
Both teams to score 46.89% (-0.585 -0.59)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.04% (-0.379 -0.38)53.95% (0.375 0.38)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.6% (-0.319 -0.32)75.4% (0.315 0.31)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.74% (0.075000000000003 0.08)19.25% (-0.078999999999997 -0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.02% (0.125 0.13)50.97% (-0.13 -0.13)
New York Red Bulls Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.07% (-0.782 -0.78)41.92% (0.778 0.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.63% (-0.689 -0.69)78.37% (0.68599999999999 0.69)
Score Analysis
    FC Cincinnati 55.75%
    New York Red Bulls 19.74%
    Draw 24.49%
FC CincinnatiDrawNew York Red Bulls
1-0 @ 13.29% (0.22 0.22)
2-0 @ 10.95% (0.21 0.21)
2-1 @ 9.52% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-0 @ 6.02% (0.131 0.13)
3-1 @ 5.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
4-0 @ 2.48% (0.06 0.06)
3-2 @ 2.27% (-0.047 -0.05)
4-1 @ 2.15% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-2 @ 0.94% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 55.75%
1-1 @ 11.56% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.118 0.12)
2-2 @ 4.14% (-0.097 -0.1)
Other @ 0.72%
Total : 24.49%
0-1 @ 7.02% (-0.047 -0.05)
1-2 @ 5.03% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-2 @ 3.05% (-0.087 -0.09)
1-3 @ 1.46% (-0.07 -0.07)
2-3 @ 1.2% (-0.055 -0.05)
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 19.74%

How you voted: Cincinnati vs NY Red Bulls

FC Cincinnati
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
New York Red Bulls
20.0%
5
Head to Head
Nov 4, 2023 11pm
NY Red Bulls
1-1
Cincinnati
NY Red Bulls win 8-7 on penalties
Barlow (45')
Lesesne (40'), Barlow (41'), Reyes (55')
Lesesne (0')
Boupendza (75')
Arias (39'), Mosquera (75'), Miazga (90+10'), Miazga (98')
Oct 30, 2023 12am
Cincinnati
3-0
NY Red Bulls
Barreal (23', 89'), Acosta (35')
Miazga (33'), Barreal (52'), Boupendza (74')

Manoel (76'), Nealis (89'), Amaya (90')
Oct 5, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
1-2
NY Red Bulls
Acosta (68' pen.)
Gaddis (27'), Powell (49'), Hagglund (73'), Pinto (82'), Barreal (90+8'), Acosta (90+10')
Powell (88')
Amaya (12'), Manoel (17')
Lesesne (28'), Reyes (53'), Coronel (90+9'), Duncan (90+10')
Jul 13, 2023 12.30am
NY Red Bulls
1-2
Cincinnati
Fernandez (28' pen.)
Ndam (3'), Edelman (45+1'), Vanzeir (64')
Acosta (80' pen.), Nwobodo (90+3')
Pinto (19'), Santos (62'), Ordonez (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami17104339241534
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls157532822626
5Columbus Crew146622113824
6Toronto167272424023
7Charlotte FCCharlotte FC166461516-122
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia154742521419
9Nashville SCNashville154741920-119
10DC United164662329-618
11Orlando City154561623-717
12Atlanta UnitedAtlanta154472018216
13CF MontrealMontreal154472133-1216
14Chicago Fire162681528-1312
15New England RevolutionNew England132110926-177

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1686231181330
2Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy167723023728
3Los Angeles FCLos Angeles158342719827
4Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd147432419525
5Austin FCAustin166552020023
6Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver156452218422
7Colorado RapidsColorado166462829-122
8Houston DynamoHouston156361616021
9Portland TimbersPortland165473030019
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City143742022-216
12Dallas143471723-613
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas152582328-511
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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