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Major League Soccer
Jun 15, 2023 at 3.30am UK
Banc of California Stadium
Houston Dynamo

Los Angeles
0 - 1
Houston


Biuk (22'), Sanchez (27'), Palacios (89')
Opoku (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Micael (23')
Clark (64'), Artur (76'), Steres (90+3'), Baird (90+2'), Sviatchenko (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Los Angeles FC and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Los Angeles FC 2-1 Houston Dynamo

While the reigning champions have been poor in recent weeks, their excellent home record this season cannot be overlooked. Fatigue will likely have an impact on both sides in this fixture, but the hosts will want to come flying out of the blocks, and an early goal will be exactly what they need to calm the nerves around the camp. The visitors' form on the road has been one of the worst in MLS this term, and despite having the psychological edge over their opponent following the result on Sunday, they are likely to find it much more difficult this time around.

How to watch

You can watch Los Angeles FC vs. Houston Dynamo and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 69.67%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 12.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.53%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (3.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood.

Result
Los Angeles FCDrawHouston Dynamo
69.67% (0.037999999999997 0.04) 18.02% (-0.012 -0.01) 12.3% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Both teams to score 50.67% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.79% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)40.2% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.43% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)62.57% (0.035000000000004 0.04)
Los Angeles FC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
89.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)10.41%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
66.03% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)33.96% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
56.55% (-0.073 -0.07)43.44% (0.07 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
20.33% (-0.062000000000001 -0.06)79.66% (0.055999999999997 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Los Angeles FC 69.66%
    Houston Dynamo 12.3%
    Draw 18.02%
Los Angeles FCDrawHouston Dynamo
2-0 @ 11.57% (0.02 0.02)
1-0 @ 10.23% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
3-0 @ 8.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
3-1 @ 7.28% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 4.94% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.12% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 3.03% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
5-0 @ 2.23% (0.004 0)
5-1 @ 1.86% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-2 @ 1.72% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 4.31%
Total : 69.66%
1-1 @ 8.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-0 @ 4.52% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.02% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 18.02%
0-1 @ 3.77% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-2 @ 3.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.57% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 0.99% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 12.3%

How you voted: Los Angeles vs Houston

Los Angeles FC
58.3%
Draw
11.1%
Houston Dynamo
30.6%
36
Head to Head
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Houston
4-0
Los Angeles
Quinones (11'), Bassi (50' pen.), Baird (69'), Escobar (89')
Clark (53'), Escobar (79'), Baird (81')

Cifuentes (32')
Sep 19, 2022 3.30am
Los Angeles
3-1
Houston
Vela (8' pen., 45+4' pen.), Hollingshead (52')
Baird (24')
Jun 20, 2021 4am
Gameweek 11
Los Angeles
1-1
Houston
Cifuentes (50')
Urruti (58')
Parker (17'), Vera (30'), Picault (71')
May 1, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 4
Houston
1-1
Los Angeles
Pasher (57')
Baird (55')
Murillo (29')
rhs 2.0
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Group A

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