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Major League Soccer
Portland Timbers
Major League Soccer
Jun 30, 2022 at 3.30am UK
Jeld-Wen Field
Houston Dynamo

Portland
2 - 1
Houston

Moreno (34' pen., 36')
Blanco (17'), Zuparic (27'), Moreno (42'), Tuiloma (54'), Williamson (72')
Tuiloma (75')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Quintero (65')
Rodriguez (21'), Zeca (34'), Hadebe (44'), Vera (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Major League Soccer clash between Portland Timbers and Houston Dynamo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Portland Timbers

Last Six:
Last Game: Portland 3-0 Colorado
Sunday, June 26 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Houston Dynamo

Last Six:
Last Game: Houston 2-0 Chicago Fire
Sunday, June 26 at 1am in Major League Soccer

We said: Portland Timbers 2-1 Houston Dynamo

 Although Portland are currently two points adrift of their opponents in the Western Conference, they usually fare well in home meetings with Houston, and we think that they will edge out the visitors to claim consecutive victories for the first time this season. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portland Timbers win with a probability of 60.88%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Houston Dynamo had a probability of 17.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portland Timbers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.4%) and 2-1 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.12%), while for a Houston Dynamo win it was 0-1 (5.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Portland Timbers in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Portland Timbers.

Result
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
60.88% (-0.219 -0.22) 21.38% (0.071999999999999 0.07) 17.74% (0.15 0.15)
Both teams to score 52.92% (0.058 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.87% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)44.13% (0.073 0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.49% (-0.067 -0.07)66.51% (0.069999999999993 0.07)
Portland Timbers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.98% (-0.088999999999999 -0.09)14.02% (0.092000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
58.43% (-0.177 -0.18)41.57% (0.17899999999999 0.18)
Houston Dynamo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.55% (0.133 0.13)38.45% (-0.129 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.8% (0.126 0.13)75.2% (-0.124 -0.12)
Score Analysis
    Portland Timbers 60.87%
    Houston Dynamo 17.74%
    Draw 21.38%
Portland TimbersDrawHouston Dynamo
1-0 @ 10.59%
2-0 @ 10.4% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-1 @ 9.94%
3-0 @ 6.81% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-1 @ 6.51% (-0.022 -0.02)
4-0 @ 3.35% (-0.034 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.2% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 3.11% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.53% (-0.004 -0)
5-0 @ 1.32% (-0.018 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.26% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.86%
Total : 60.87%
1-1 @ 10.12% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 5.39% (0.017 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.75% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 0.99% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 21.38%
0-1 @ 5.15% (0.034999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 4.84% (0.033 0.03)
0-2 @ 2.46% (0.025 0.02)
1-3 @ 1.54% (0.016 0.02)
2-3 @ 1.51% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 17.74%

How you voted: Portland vs Houston

Portland Timbers
60.0%
Draw
20.0%
Houston Dynamo
20.0%
15
Head to Head
Apr 16, 2022 11pm
Houston
0-0
Portland

Hadebe (27')
Hadebe (75')

Paredes (16'), Blanco (27'), Chara (49'), Tuiloma (81')
Sep 4, 2021 1am
Houston
0-2
Portland

Parker (50')
Chara (15'), Mora (20' pen.)
Bravo (51'), Zambrano (86'), Mabiala (90+2')
Jun 24, 2021 1.30am
Houston
2-2
Portland
Picault (15'), Pasher (33')
Picault (59')
Asprilla (50'), Ebobisse (90+1')
Bonilla (38'), Mabiala (72'), Blanco (73')
Apr 25, 2021 3.30am
Portland
2-1
Houston
Asprilla (6'), Paredes (73')
Asprilla (26'), Bravo (39')
Paredes (28' og.)
Valentin (36'), Urruti (37')
Jul 26, 2020 3.30am
Portland
P-P
Houston
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls168532922729
4New York City FCNY City169252417729
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1431101127-1610

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd158432720728
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland175573232020
10Seattle SoundersSeattle164661919018
11St Louis City153842325-217
12Dallas153481724-713
13Sporting Kansas CityKansas162592431-711
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511
> Full Version


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