Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 55.34%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Orlando City had a probability of 21.33%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.82%) and 2-0 (9.75%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.08%), while for a Orlando City win it was 0-1 (6.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for New York Red Bulls in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for New York Red Bulls.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
55.34% ( -0.03) | 23.33% ( -0.31) | 21.33% ( 0.35) |
Both teams to score 52.68% ( 1.48) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.56% ( 1.72) | 47.44% ( -1.71) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.34% ( 1.57) | 69.66% ( -1.56) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.01% ( 0.62) | 16.99% ( -0.61) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.89% ( 1.07) | 47.11% ( -1.07) |
Orlando City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.46% ( 1.32) | 36.54% ( -1.32) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.68% ( 1.31) | 73.33% ( -1.3) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | Orlando City |
1-0 @ 11% ( -0.57) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 9.75% ( -0.3) 3-1 @ 5.8% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( 0.17) 4-1 @ 2.57% ( 0.11) 4-0 @ 2.55% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.1) 5-1 @ 0.91% ( 0.06) 5-0 @ 0.91% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.05% Total : 55.34% | 1-1 @ 11.08% ( -0.16) 0-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.45) 2-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.2) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 0.12% Total : 23.33% | 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 5.58% ( 0.12) 0-2 @ 3.15% ( 0) 1-3 @ 1.87% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.12) 0-3 @ 1.06% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.77% Total : 21.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |