Major League Soccer

Sep 24, 2023 at 3.30am UK

Avaya Stadium

Earthquakes
1 - 1
Nashville

Hoppe (74')
Espinoza (10'), Gruezo (54')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Bunbury (50')
Godoy (11'), Zimmerman (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between San Jose Earthquakes and Nashville SC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

San Jose Earthquakes

All competitions

Last Game: Portland 2-1 Earthquakes
Thursday, September 21 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Nashville SC

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 0-3 Nashville
Thursday, September 21 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

We said: San Jose Earthquakes 1-2 Nashville SC

The sides boast similar attacking records heading into this one, but Nashville have been the better team defensively and consequently, we fancy them to emerge triumphant from what should be an open and end-to-end contest.

How to watch

You can watch San Jose Earthquakes vs. Nashville SC and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 48.27%. A win for Nashville SC had a probability of 26.73% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.41%) and 2-0 (8.46%). The likeliest Nashville SC win was 0-1 (7.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.88%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result
San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Nashville SC
48.27% ( 0.02)	25% ( -0.01)	26.73% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.38% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

50.58% (

0.02)

49.42% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

28.54% (

0.02)

71.46% (

-0.02)

San Jose Earthquakes Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.5% (

0.02)

20.5% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.01% (

0.03)

52.99% (

-0.02)

Nashville SC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.14%

32.86%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.57% (

69.42% (

Score Analysis

San Jose Earthquakes 48.27%

Nashville SC 26.73%

Draw 25%

San Jose Earthquakes	Draw	Nashville SC
1-0 @ 10.67% 2-1 @ 9.41% ( 0) 2-0 @ 8.46% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.97% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.47% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.97% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.77% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 2.68% Total : 48.27%	1-1 @ 11.88% 0-0 @ 6.74% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.24% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 0.12% Total : 25%	0-1 @ 7.5% ( -0) 1-2 @ 6.61% ( -0) 0-2 @ 4.17% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.45% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.55% ( -0) Other @ 2.5% Total : 26.73%