Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Colorado Rapids | 28 | -9 | 32 |
8 | San Jose Earthquakes | 27 | -12 | 27 |
9 | Chivas USA | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 27 | 3 | 38 |
5 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 28 | -10 | 34 |
6 | Seattle Sounders | 28 | -1 | 33 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a San Jose Earthquakes win with a probability of 56.32%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Vancouver Whitecaps had a probability of 21.71%.
The most likely scoreline for a San Jose Earthquakes win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.08%) and 2-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.19%), while for a Vancouver Whitecaps win it was 1-2 (5.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that San Jose Earthquakes would win this match.
Result | ||
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
56.32% ( 1.15) | 21.97% ( -0.2) | 21.71% ( -0.95) |
Both teams to score 57.74% ( -0.65) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.01% ( -0.25) | 40.99% ( 0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.61% ( -0.25) | 63.38% ( 0.25) |
San Jose Earthquakes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.59% ( 0.29) | 14.41% ( -0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.67% ( 0.55) | 42.33% ( -0.55) |
Vancouver Whitecaps Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.46% ( -0.99) | 32.54% ( 0.99) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.93% ( -1.13) | 69.07% ( 1.13) |
Score Analysis |
San Jose Earthquakes | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.08% ( 0.19) 2-0 @ 8.8% ( 0.27) 3-1 @ 6.38% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 5.68% ( 0.23) 3-2 @ 3.58% ( -0.04) 4-1 @ 3.09% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.14) 4-2 @ 1.73% ( -0) 5-1 @ 1.2% ( 0.04) 5-0 @ 1.07% ( 0.06) Other @ 3.08% Total : 56.32% | 1-1 @ 10.19% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 4.69% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.2% Total : 21.96% | 1-2 @ 5.73% ( -0.19) 0-1 @ 5.27% ( -0.08) 0-2 @ 2.96% ( -0.13) 1-3 @ 2.14% ( -0.13) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.44% Total : 21.71% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |