Major League Soccer

Apr 14, 2024 at 1.30am UK

Children's Mercy Park

Kansas
2 - 3
Inter Miami

Thommy (6', 58')
Hernandez (79'), Radoja (83'), Davis (88')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Gomez (18'), Messi (51'), Suarez (71')
Aviles (15'), Gomez (56')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Sporting Kansas City and Inter Miami, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sporting Kansas City

All competitions

Last Game: Kansas 3-3 Portland
Sunday, April 7 at 6.45pm in Major League Soccer

Goals
for

Inter Miami

All competitions

Major League Soccer

Last Game: Monterrey 3-1 Inter Miami
Thursday, April 11 at 3.30am in CONCACAF Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Sporting Kansas City 2-3 Inter Miami

No lead is safe when you play a side with the attacking quality of Inter Miami, even if Messi comes off the bench as we expect he will this weekend. SKC have looked uncomfortable all season when trying to defend a lead, and one has to wonder how they may react if they lead this weekend against a Miami side likely to have plenty of support in the stands. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sporting Kansas City win with a probability of 54.92%. A win for Inter Miami had a probability of 23.37% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sporting Kansas City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.98%) and 2-0 (7.92%). The likeliest Inter Miami win was 1-2 (6.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.81%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Inter Miami in this match.

Result
Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Inter Miami
54.92% ( 0.06)	21.7% ( -0.02)	23.37% ( -0.04)

Both teams to score 61.02% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.29% (

0.06)

37.71% (

-0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

40.05% (

0.06)

59.95% (

-0.06)

Sporting Kansas City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.26% (

0.04)

13.74% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

58.98% (

0.08)

41.01% (

-0.08)

Inter Miami Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

29.26% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.78% (

65.22% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Sporting Kansas City 54.92%

Inter Miami 23.37%

Draw 21.7%

Sporting Kansas City	Draw	Inter Miami
2-1 @ 9.73% ( 0) 1-0 @ 7.98% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.92% 3-1 @ 6.44% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 5.24% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.96% ( 0) 4-1 @ 3.2% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.27% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.03% ( 0) Other @ 3.6% Total : 54.92%	1-1 @ 9.81% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 5.98% 0-0 @ 4.02% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 1.62% ( 0) Other @ 0.27% Total : 21.7%	1-2 @ 6.03% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 2.47% ( -0) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 23.37%