Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Porto win with a probability of 40.98%. A win for Benfica had a probability of 33.84% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Porto win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (6.64%). The likeliest Benfica win was 0-1 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Porto | Draw | Benfica |
40.98% | 25.17% | 33.84% ( -0) |
Both teams to score 56.66% ( -0) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.13% ( -0) | 46.87% ( -0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.87% ( -0) | 69.12% ( -0) |
Porto Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.24% ( -0) | 22.75% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.56% | 56.44% ( -0) |
Benfica Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.35% ( -0) | 26.64% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.11% ( -0) | 61.88% |
Score Analysis |
Porto | Draw | Benfica |
1-0 @ 8.97% 2-1 @ 8.79% 2-0 @ 6.64% 3-1 @ 4.34% 3-0 @ 3.28% 3-2 @ 2.87% 4-1 @ 1.61% 4-0 @ 1.21% 4-2 @ 1.06% Other @ 2.22% Total : 40.98% | 1-1 @ 11.87% 0-0 @ 6.06% 2-2 @ 5.81% 3-3 @ 1.26% Other @ 0.17% Total : 25.18% | 0-1 @ 8.02% 1-2 @ 7.85% 0-2 @ 5.3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.46% 2-3 @ 2.56% 0-3 @ 2.34% 1-4 @ 1.14% ( -0) Other @ 3.16% Total : 33.84% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Sporting Lisbon | 34 | 29 | 3 | 2 | 96 | 29 | 67 | 90 |
2 | Benfica | 34 | 25 | 5 | 4 | 77 | 28 | 49 | 80 |
3 | Porto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 63 | 27 | 36 | 72 |
4 | Braga | 34 | 21 | 5 | 8 | 71 | 50 | 21 | 68 |
5 | Vitoria de GuimaraesGuimaraes | 34 | 19 | 6 | 9 | 52 | 38 | 14 | 63 |
6 | MoreirenseMoreirense | 34 | 16 | 7 | 11 | 36 | 35 | 1 | 55 |
7 | AroucaArouca | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 54 | 50 | 4 | 46 |
8 | FamalicaoFamalicao | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 37 | 41 | -4 | 42 |
9 | Casa Pia | 34 | 10 | 8 | 16 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 38 |
10 | SC FarenseFarense | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 46 | 51 | -5 | 37 |
11 | Rio AveRio Ave | 34 | 6 | 19 | 9 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Gil Vicente | 34 | 9 | 9 | 16 | 42 | 52 | -10 | 36 |
13 | Estoril PraiaEstoril | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 49 | 58 | -9 | 33 |
14 | Estrela Amadora | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 33 | 53 | -20 | 33 |
15 | BoavistaBoavista | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 39 | 62 | -23 | 32 |
16 | PortimonensePortimonense | 34 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 39 | 72 | -33 | 32 |
R | Vizela | 34 | 5 | 11 | 18 | 36 | 66 | -30 | 26 |
R | ChavesChaves | 34 | 5 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 72 | -41 | 23 |
> Primeira Liga Full Table |