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Serie A | Gameweek 26
Mar 12, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Torino logo

Lecce
0 - 2
Torino


Gonzalez (28'), Espeto (32'), Hjulmand (44')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Singo (20'), Sanabria (23')
Buongiorno (29'), Ilic (32'), Milinkovic-Savic (32')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 2-0 Lecce
Sunday, March 5 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Torino 1-0 Bologna
Monday, March 6 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Torino

Torino have struggled to put a good run of results together all season and have frequently dropped points against sides near the bottom. For Lecce, any points will be vital now as they aim to ease themselves away from trouble to a mid-table finish. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.97%. A win for Torino had a probability of 31.36% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.69%) and 2-0 (7.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawTorino
41.97% (-0.702 -0.7) 26.67% (-0.25 -0.25) 31.36% (0.957 0.96)
Both teams to score 50.97% (1.158 1.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.15% (1.299 1.3)53.85% (-1.295 -1.3)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.69% (1.081 1.08)75.32% (-1.077 -1.08)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.65% (0.22800000000001 0.23)25.36% (-0.223 -0.22)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.86% (0.31 0.31)60.15% (-0.305 -0.31)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.29% (1.351 1.35)31.72% (-1.346 -1.35)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.87% (1.524 1.52)68.14% (-1.52 -1.52)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 41.97%
    Torino 31.36%
    Draw 26.67%
LecceDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.03% (-0.5 -0.5)
2-1 @ 8.69% (-0.0059999999999985 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.57% (-0.289 -0.29)
3-1 @ 3.98% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 3.46% (-0.109 -0.11)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.095 0.09)
4-1 @ 1.36% (0.016 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.19% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 41.97%
1-1 @ 12.67% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.416 -0.42)
2-2 @ 4.99% (0.178 0.18)
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.67%
0-1 @ 9.23% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 7.28% (0.214 0.21)
0-2 @ 5.3% (0.123 0.12)
1-3 @ 2.79% (0.18 0.18)
0-3 @ 2.03% (0.119 0.12)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.135 0.14)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 31.36%

How you voted: Lecce vs Torino

Lecce
39.2%
Draw
32.4%
Torino
28.4%
74
Head to Head
Sep 5, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 2, 2020 5pm
Lecce
4-0
Torino
Deiola (11'), Barak (19'), Falco (64'), Lapadula (78' pen.)
Majer (33'), Deiola (43'), Lapadula (76')

N'Koulou (12'), Meite (18'), Aina (60')
Sep 16, 2019 7.45pm
Torino
1-2
Lecce
Belotti (58' pen.)
Berenguer (40')
Farias (35'), Mancosu (73')
Rossettini (15'), Lucioni (18'), Lapadula (50'), Tabanelli (56'), Rispoli (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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