Women's World Cup | Round of 16

Aug 6, 2023 at 3am UK

Allianz Stadium

N'lands Women
2 - 0
S. Africa Women

Roord (9'), Beerensteyn (68')
van de Donk (67')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview

Data Analysis

Lineups

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Women's World Cup clash between Netherlands Women and South Africa Women, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Netherlands Women

All competitions

Women's World Cup

Last Game: Vietnam Women 0-7 N'lands Women
Tuesday, August 1 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Current Group E Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Netherlands Women	3	8	7
2	USA Women	3	3	5
3	Portugal Women	3	1	4
4	Vietnam Women	3	-12	0

South Africa Women

All competitions

Last Game: S. Africa Women 3-2 Italy Women
Wednesday, August 2 at 8am in Women's World Cup

Current Group G Standings		P	GD	PTS
1	Sweden Women	3	8	9
2	South Africa Women	3	0	4
3	Italy Women	3	-5	3
4	Argentina Women	3	-3	1

We said: Netherlands Women 3-1 South Africa Women

The Netherlands will go into the last-16 tie as heavy favourites, and while we expect South Africa to cause their opponents one or two problems, we think that the Dutch will have the extra-quality required to secure their place in the quarter-finals. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Netherlands Women win with a probability of 82.89%. A draw had a probability of 11.8% and a win for South Africa Women had a probability of 5.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Netherlands Women win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (12.53%) and 1-0 (9.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (5.63%), while for a South Africa Women win it was 0-1 (2.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Netherlands Women in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Netherlands Women.

Result
Netherlands Women	Draw	South Africa Women
82.89% ( 0.18)	11.84% ( 0.01)	5.27% ( -0.19)

Both teams to score 40.76% (

-1.49)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.72% (

-1.11)

35.28% (

1.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.7% (

-1.25)

57.3% (

1.24)

Netherlands Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

93.68% (

-0.19)

6.31% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

76.24% (

-0.52)

23.76% (

0.52)

South Africa Women Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

43.5% (

-1.5)

56.49% (

1.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

11.24% (

-0.87)

88.75% (

0.87)

Score Analysis

Netherlands Women 82.89%

South Africa Women 5.27%

Draw 11.84%

Netherlands Women	Draw	South Africa Women
2-0 @ 13.61% ( 0.47) 3-0 @ 12.53% ( 0.31) 1-0 @ 9.85% ( 0.44) 4-0 @ 8.65% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 7.77% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 7.16% ( -0.16) 4-1 @ 4.94% ( -0.16) 5-0 @ 4.78% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 2.73% ( -0.12) 6-0 @ 2.2% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.04% ( -0.14) 4-2 @ 1.41% ( -0.12) 6-1 @ 1.26% ( -0.07) Other @ 3.95% Total : 82.89%	1-1 @ 5.63% 0-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 2.22% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.43% Total : 11.84%	0-1 @ 2.04% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 1.61% ( -0.08) Other @ 1.62% Total : 5.27%