Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western United win with a probability of 43.59%. A win for Perth Glory had a probability of 35.49% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western United win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.4%) and 2-3 (4.97%). The likeliest Perth Glory win was 2-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.71%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 1.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Western United would win this match.
Result | ||
Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
35.49% ( 1.66) | 20.91% ( 0.4) | 43.59% ( -2.06) |
Both teams to score 73.31% ( -1.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
74.56% ( -1.5) | 25.44% ( 1.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
54.51% ( -1.97) | 45.49% ( 1.97) |
Perth Glory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.15% ( -0) | 15.85% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.96% ( -0) | 45.04% ( 0) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.12% ( -1.22) | 12.88% ( 1.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.73% ( -2.56) | 39.27% ( 2.56) |
Score Analysis |
Perth Glory | Draw | Western United |
2-1 @ 7.1% ( 0.36) 3-2 @ 4.47% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.36% ( 0.22) 1-0 @ 3.76% ( 0.36) 2-0 @ 3.46% ( 0.33) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.2) 4-2 @ 2.06% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.01% ( 0.1) 4-3 @ 1.41% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 0.98% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.78% Total : 35.49% | 1-1 @ 7.71% ( 0.39) 2-2 @ 7.27% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 3.05% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 2.04% ( 0.19) Other @ 0.84% Total : 20.91% | 1-2 @ 7.9% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( -0.24) 2-3 @ 4.97% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.21) 0-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.13) 1-4 @ 2.77% ( -0.26) 2-4 @ 2.55% ( -0.24) 3-4 @ 1.56% ( -0.15) 0-4 @ 1.5% ( -0.14) 1-5 @ 1.13% ( -0.17) 2-5 @ 1.04% ( -0.15) Other @ 3.38% Total : 43.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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