Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 45.99%. A win for Wellington Phoenix has a probability of 30.6% and a draw has a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.72%) and 0-2 (6.7%). The likeliest Wellington Phoenix win is 2-1 (7.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.63%).
Result | ||
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
30.6% ( -0.56) | 23.4% ( -0.11) | 45.99% ( 0.67) |
Both teams to score 61.59% ( 0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.16% ( 0.25) | 39.84% ( -0.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.8% ( 0.26) | 62.2% ( -0.26) |
Wellington Phoenix Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.78% ( -0.22) | 25.22% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.04% ( -0.31) | 59.96% ( 0.31) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.36% ( 0.36) | 17.64% ( -0.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.76% ( 0.63) | 48.24% ( -0.63) |
Score Analysis |
Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Melbourne Victory |
2-1 @ 7.32% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.11) 2-0 @ 4.22% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 2.92% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.94% ( -0.06) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.55% Total : 30.6% | 1-1 @ 10.63% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 6.35% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.45% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.4% | 1-2 @ 9.22% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 7.72% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.7% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.34% ( 0.09) 0-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 3.68% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 2.31% ( 0.07) 0-4 @ 1.68% ( 0.06) 2-4 @ 1.59% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.89% Total : 45.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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