Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 42.62%. A win for Western United had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.58%) and 0-2 (5.71%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
Result | ||
Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
34.35% ( 1.24) | 23.03% ( 0.18) | 42.62% ( -1.41) |
Both teams to score 64.63% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.46% ( -0.47) | 36.53% ( 0.47) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.32% ( -0.52) | 58.68% ( 0.51) |
Western United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.51% ( 0.44) | 21.49% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
45.46% ( 0.67) | 54.53% ( -0.67) |
Central Coast Mariners Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.33% ( -0.75) | 17.67% ( 0.75) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.7% ( -1.32) | 48.3% ( 1.32) |
Score Analysis |
Western United | Draw | Central Coast Mariners |
2-1 @ 7.78% ( 0.19) 1-0 @ 5.84% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 4.49% ( 0.22) 3-1 @ 3.99% ( 0.15) 3-2 @ 3.46% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 2.3% ( 0.14) 4-1 @ 1.53% ( 0.08) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.64% Total : 34.35% | 1-1 @ 10.12% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.74% ( 0) 0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 2% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.37% Total : 23.03% | 1-2 @ 8.77% ( -0.11) 0-1 @ 6.58% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 5.71% ( -0.15) 1-3 @ 5.07% ( -0.2) 2-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.3% ( -0.17) 1-4 @ 2.2% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.69% ( -0.09) 0-4 @ 1.43% ( -0.11) Other @ 3.99% Total : 42.62% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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