Australian A-League | Gameweek 20

Mar 13, 2023 at 7am UK

AAMI Park

Victory
1 - 2
Western Utd

Fornaroli (50')
Da Silva (77'), Cadete (90+1')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Botic (38'), Prijovic (69')
Garuccio (85'), Young (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 1-0 Victory
Saturday, March 4 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Utd 2-1 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 4 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Melbourne Victory 2-1 Western United

With both sides showing some encouraging form of late, we expect a competitive fixture to unfold. Although Western United will be confident of making it three wins in a row, we are backing Victory to close things up at the foot of the table with a hard-fought triumph. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 48.32%. A win for Western United had a probability of 28.14% and a draw had a probability of 23.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.53%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Western United win was 1-2 (6.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.

Result
Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western United
48.32% ( 0.55)	23.53% ( -0.15)	28.14% ( -0.41)

Both teams to score 59.43% (

0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.03% (

0.4)

41.96% (

-0.41)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.63% (

0.4)

64.37% (

-0.41)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.44% (

0.37)

17.56% (

-0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.9% (

0.64)

48.1% (

-0.65)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.08% (

-0.08)

27.91% (

0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.46% (

-0.1)

63.53% (

0.1)

Score Analysis

Melbourne Victory 48.32%

Western United 28.14%

Draw 23.52%

Melbourne Victory	Draw	Western United
2-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 8.53% ( -0.05) 2-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.09) 3-0 @ 4.3% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.5% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 1.87% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.84% Total : 48.32%	1-1 @ 10.87% ( -0.09) 2-2 @ 6.04% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.9% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.49% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.52%	1-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 6.25% ( -0.13) 0-2 @ 3.99% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 2.95% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 0.94% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.8% Total : 28.14%