River Plate

1 - 2

Sarmiento

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 81.6%. A draw had a probability of 13.1% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 5.32%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 2-0 with a probability of 15.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (13.05%) and 1-0 (12.12%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.07%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (2.39%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 1.5% likelihood.