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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 55.65%. A win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.32% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.86%) and 2-0 (8.57%). The likeliest Union Berlin win was 1-2 (5.85%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.18%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
Result | ||
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Union Berlin |
55.65% | 22.03% | 22.32% |
Both teams to score 58.42% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.51% | 40.49% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.13% | 62.87% |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.54% | 14.46% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
57.58% | 42.42% |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.3% | 31.7% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.88% | 68.12% |
Score Analysis |
Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Union Berlin |
2-1 @ 9.85% 1-0 @ 8.86% 2-0 @ 8.57% 3-1 @ 6.35% 3-0 @ 5.53% 3-2 @ 3.65% 4-1 @ 3.07% 4-0 @ 2.67% 4-2 @ 1.76% 5-1 @ 1.19% 5-0 @ 1.03% Other @ 3.12% Total : 55.65% | 1-1 @ 10.18% 2-2 @ 5.66% 0-0 @ 4.58% 3-3 @ 1.4% Other @ 0.21% Total : 22.03% | 1-2 @ 5.85% 0-1 @ 5.27% 0-2 @ 3.02% 1-3 @ 2.24% 2-3 @ 2.17% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 2.62% Total : 22.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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