Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 23

Mar 4, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

Borussia-Park

Borussia M'bach
0 - 0
Freiburg

Stindl (15'), Elvedi (40'), Farke (62+62'), Thuram (84'), Bensebaini (87')
Bensebaini (87')

Lienhart (67'), Hofler (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Borussia Monchengladbach and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Borussia Monchengladbach

All competitions

Last Game: Mainz 4-0 Borussia M'bach
Friday, February 24 at 7.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 1-1 B. Leverkusen
Sunday, February 26 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 1-1 Freiburg

Gladbach have proven themselves to be a much more effective team on their home patch under Farke's stewardship, and we can envisage a share of the spoils at Borussia-Park on Saturday. Freiburg are a dangerous team in transition and will be happy for the hosts to have the majority of the ball, with both managers unlikely to be too disappointed if their side can avoid defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 44.07%. A win for Freiburg had a probability of 33.02% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.67%) and 2-0 (5.9%). The likeliest Freiburg win was 1-2 (7.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.05%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Freiburg
44.07% ( -2.32)	22.91% ( 0.12)	33.02% ( 2.2)

Both teams to score 64.62% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

63.63% (

0.39)

36.36% (

-0.39)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

41.5% (

0.43)

58.49% (

-0.43)

Borussia Monchengladbach Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.97% (

-0.73)

17.02% (

0.73)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.83% (

-1.31)

47.16% (

1.31)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.87% (

1.44)

22.12% (

-1.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.5% (

2.13)

55.5% (

-2.13)

Score Analysis

Borussia Monchengladbach 44.07%

Freiburg 33.02%

Draw 22.9%

Borussia Monchengladbach	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 8.91% ( -0.23) 1-0 @ 6.67% ( -0.3) 2-0 @ 5.9% ( -0.42) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.27) 3-2 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.48% ( -0.34) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( -0.18) 4-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.54% ( -0.19) Other @ 4.26% Total : 44.07%	1-1 @ 10.05% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 6.72% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.07) 3-3 @ 1.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.37% Total : 22.9%	1-2 @ 7.59% ( 0.31) 0-1 @ 5.68% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.28) 1-3 @ 3.82% ( 0.31) 2-3 @ 3.38% ( 0.2) 0-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.22) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0.17) 2-4 @ 1.27% ( 0.13) Other @ 3.41% Total : 33.02%