Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 21

Feb 18, 2023 at 2.30pm UK

VfL Bochum
0 - 2
Freiburg

Zoller (34'), Schlotterbeck (76'), Broschinski (79'), Osei-Tutu (90+5')
Losilla (63')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Gregoritsch (39'), Holer (51')
Lienhart (43'), Gunter (62')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between VfL Bochum and Freiburg, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

VfL Bochum

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Bayern 3-0 VfL Bochum
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Freiburg

All competitions

Bundesliga

Last Game: Freiburg 2-1 Stuttgart
Saturday, February 11 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: VfL Bochum 1-2 Freiburg

Bochum may have enjoyed home comforts of late, but a wider view of their form reveals four defeats in their previous five matches across all competitions and venues. We are backing Freiburg to end Bochum's winning run on home turf, with Streich calling upon all of his wile and guile to get one over Letsch. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 39.36%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 37.03% and a draw had a probability of 23.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.51%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.83%) and 0-2 (5.49%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (8.22%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.

Result
VfL Bochum	Draw	Freiburg
37.03% ( -0.02)	23.6% ( -0.01)	39.36% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 62.97% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

61.09% (

0.03)

38.9% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.78% (

0.03)

61.22% (

-0.03)

VfL Bochum Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8% (

21.2% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.91% (

54.08% (

-0)

Freiburg Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.92% (

0.02)

20.08% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.68% (

0.04)

52.32% (

-0.04)

Score Analysis

VfL Bochum 37.03%

Freiburg 39.37%

Draw 23.6%

VfL Bochum	Draw	Freiburg
2-1 @ 8.22% ( -0) 1-0 @ 6.6% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 5.12% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.25% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.41% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.65% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.65% 4-2 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 2.78% Total : 37.03%	1-1 @ 10.6% 2-2 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-0 @ 4.26% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.83% ( 0) Other @ 0.31% Total : 23.6%	1-2 @ 8.51% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.83% ( -0) 0-2 @ 5.49% ( 0) 1-3 @ 4.55% ( 0) 2-3 @ 3.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.94% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.83% ( 0) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.18% ( 0) Other @ 3.09% Total : 39.37%