Bundesliga

Bundesliga | Gameweek 4

Aug 27, 2022 at 2.30pm UK

Coface Arena

Mainz 05
0 - 3
B. Leverkusen

Burgzorg (70')

FT(HT: 0-3)

Palacios (29'), Frimpong (39', 41')
Hincapie (3'), Andrich (45'), Frimpong (60'), Bakker (76')
Hincapie (77'), Bakker (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Bundesliga clash between Mainz 05 and Bayer Leverkusen, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Mainz 05

Last Six:

Last Game: Augsburg 1-2 Mainz 05
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
4	Union Berlin	3	3	7
5	Mainz 05	3	2	7
6	Hoffenheim	3	2	6

Bayer Leverkusen

Last Six:

Last Game: B. Leverkusen 0-3 Hoffenheim
Saturday, August 20 at 2.30pm in Bundesliga

Current League Standings		P	GD	PTS
16	Hertha Berlin	3	-3	1
17	Bayer Leverkusen	3	-5	0
18	VfL Bochum	4	-10	0

We said: Mainz 05 2-0 Bayer Leverkusen

The visitors might be a team that a lot of fans have high expectations of this season, but so far it has been a tough campaign for Bayer Leverkusen, and they head into this one with low confidence. That is the opposite for Mainz, particularly when it comes to games at home, which is why they will walk into this one as the firm favourites. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Mainz 05 had a probability of 36.34% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (6.24%). The likeliest Mainz 05 win was 1-0 (8.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.15%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.

Result
Mainz 05	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
36.34% ( -0.02)	25.66% ( -0.02)	37.99% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 55.38% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.3% (

0.09)

48.7% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.19% (

0.08)

70.81% (

-0.08)

Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.96% (

0.03)

26.04% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.92% (

0.04)

61.07% (

-0.05)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.88% (

0.06)

25.12% (

-0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.18% (

0.08)

59.82% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Mainz 05 36.34%

Bayer Leverkusen 37.99%

Draw 25.66%

Mainz 05	Draw	Bayer Leverkusen
1-0 @ 8.8% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 8.18% ( -0) 2-0 @ 5.92% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.67% ( 0) 3-0 @ 2.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.54% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 3.34% Total : 36.34%	1-1 @ 12.15% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.65% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.17% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 25.66%	0-1 @ 9.04% ( -0.02) 1-2 @ 8.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.24% ( -0) 1-3 @ 3.87% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 2.88% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.34% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.64% Total : 37.99%