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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Werder Bremen win with a probability of 59.73%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Schalke 04 had a probability of 19.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Werder Bremen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.86%) and 1-0 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Schalke 04 win it was 1-2 (5.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Werder Bremen in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Werder Bremen.
Result | ||
Werder Bremen | Draw | Schalke 04 |
59.73% ( -0.46) | 20.68% ( 0.17) | 19.59% ( 0.29) |
Both teams to score 58.88% ( -0.09) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
62.08% ( -0.36) | 37.91% ( 0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
39.83% ( -0.38) | 60.17% ( 0.38) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.61% ( -0.24) | 12.38% ( 0.24) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.75% ( -0.51) | 38.25% ( 0.5) |
Schalke 04 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.2% ( 0.08) | 32.79% ( -0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.64% ( 0.09) | 69.36% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Werder Bremen | Draw | Schalke 04 |
2-1 @ 9.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.86% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.48% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 6.88% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 6.17% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.83% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.59% ( -0.07) 4-0 @ 3.22% ( -0.07) 4-2 @ 2% ( -0.03) 5-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.35% ( -0.04) Other @ 3.97% Total : 59.73% | 1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.09) 2-2 @ 5.51% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 4.06% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.23% Total : 20.68% | 1-2 @ 5.27% ( 0.06) 0-1 @ 4.53% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 2.52% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 19.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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