Home > Football > Bundesliga
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Freiburg win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Werder Bremen had a probability of 27.9% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Freiburg win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.49%) and 2-0 (7.44%). The likeliest Werder Bremen win was 1-2 (6.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.82%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Freiburg would win this match.
Result | ||
Freiburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
48.65% ( 2.61) | 23.44% ( -0.44) | 27.9% ( -2.17) |
Both teams to score 59.56% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.29% ( 0.7) | 41.71% ( -0.7) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.89% ( 0.71) | 64.11% ( -0.7) |
Freiburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.67% ( 1.3) | 17.33% ( -1.3) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
52.29% ( 2.23) | 47.71% ( -2.23) |
Werder Bremen Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.05% ( -1.12) | 27.95% ( 1.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.42% ( -1.45) | 63.58% ( 1.45) |
Score Analysis |
Freiburg | Draw | Werder Bremen |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.2) 1-0 @ 8.49% ( 0.09) 2-0 @ 7.44% ( 0.38) 3-1 @ 5.54% ( 0.34) 3-0 @ 4.35% ( 0.39) 3-2 @ 3.53% ( 0.11) 4-1 @ 2.43% ( 0.24) 4-0 @ 1.91% ( 0.24) 4-2 @ 1.55% ( 0.11) Other @ 3.94% Total : 48.65% | 1-1 @ 10.82% ( -0.23) 2-2 @ 6.05% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 4.84% ( -0.15) 3-3 @ 1.5% ( 0) Other @ 0.23% Total : 23.44% | 1-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.37) 0-1 @ 6.18% ( -0.4) 0-2 @ 3.94% ( -0.39) 1-3 @ 2.93% ( -0.26) 2-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.23) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.11) Other @ 2.79% Total : 27.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |