The hosts come into the match as huge favourites and have arguably got the best draw of the round against the tournament debutants. We fancy Braga to secure a commanding lead in this first-leg encounter, though we also expect the visitors to get on the scoresheet. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 70.17%. A draw had a probability of 18% and a win for Backa Topola had a probability of 11.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.73%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.55%), while for a Backa Topola win it was 0-1 (3.81%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Braga would win this match.

Result
Braga	Draw	Backa Topola
70.17% ( 0.01)	18.01%	11.81% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 49.1% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.56% (

-0.01)

41.43% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.17% (

-0.01)

63.83% (

0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.38% (

10.62% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

65.57%

34.43% (

Backa Topola Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

54.94% (

-0.02)

45.06% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

19.02% (

-0.01)

80.98% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Braga 70.17%

Backa Topola 11.81%

Draw 18.01%

Braga	Draw	Backa Topola
2-0 @ 12.03% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( -0) 3-0 @ 8.99% ( 0) 3-1 @ 7.17% ( -0) 4-0 @ 5.04% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.02% 3-2 @ 2.86% ( -0) 5-0 @ 2.26% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.8% 4-2 @ 1.6% ( -0) Other @ 4.07% Total : 70.17%	1-1 @ 8.55% 0-0 @ 4.79% ( 0) 2-2 @ 3.82% ( -0) Other @ 0.85% Total : 18.01%	0-1 @ 3.81% 1-2 @ 3.41% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.02% ( -0) 1-3 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 1.15% Total : 11.81%