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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 41.14%. A win for Bristol City had a probability of 31.64% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (7.58%). The likeliest Bristol City win was 0-1 (9.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Bristol City |
41.14% ( -1.49) | 27.22% ( 0.59) | 31.64% ( 0.9) |
Both teams to score 49.42% ( -1.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.11% ( -1.99) | 55.88% ( 1.98) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23% ( -1.65) | 76.99% ( 1.64) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.27% ( -1.7) | 26.72% ( 1.69) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.01% ( -2.29) | 61.99% ( 2.28) |
Bristol City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.44% ( -0.39) | 32.55% ( 0.38) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.9% ( -0.44) | 69.09% ( 0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Bristol City |
1-0 @ 11.48% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.5% ( -0.26) 2-0 @ 7.58% ( -0.15) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( -0.3) 3-0 @ 3.33% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.2) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 1.1% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.08% Total : 41.14% | 1-1 @ 12.88% ( 0.23) 0-0 @ 8.7% ( 0.65) 2-2 @ 4.77% ( -0.2) Other @ 0.86% Total : 27.21% | 0-1 @ 9.76% ( 0.63) 1-2 @ 7.23% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 5.48% ( 0.3) 1-3 @ 2.7% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.05% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.64% Total : 31.64% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
4 | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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