Copa del Rey | Semi-Finals | 1st Leg
Mar 1, 2023 at 8pm UK
Estadio El Sadar
Osasuna1 - 0Athletic Bilbao
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Sevilla 2-3 Osasuna
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 26 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Athletic Bilbao 2-3 Girona
Sunday, February 26 at 1pm in La Liga
Sunday, February 26 at 1pm in La Liga
We said: Osasuna 2-1 Athletic Bilbao
Osasuna clung to a goalless draw when these sides met in Bilbao six weeks ago - registering just three shots all match - but go into the semi-final in better form on the pitch and a far emptier treatment room off it. Athletic are one of the most aggressive teams off the ball in La Liga but may struggle to reproduce their trademark intensity with so many absences, giving Osasuna the edge in the first leg of what promises to be an enthralling tie. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Athletic Bilbao win with a probability of 38.56%. A win for Osasuna had a probability of 35.04% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for an Athletic Bilbao win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.38%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Osasuna win was 1-0 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
Result | ||
Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
35.04% ( -0) | 26.4% ( -0.01) | 38.56% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.77% ( 0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.02% ( 0.01) | 51.98% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.28% ( 0.01) | 73.72% ( -0.01) |
Osasuna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.62% ( 0) | 28.37% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.88% ( 0) | 64.11% ( -0.01) |
Athletic Bilbao Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.68% ( 0.01) | 26.32% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.54% ( 0.01) | 61.45% ( -0.01) |
Score Analysis |
Osasuna 35.04%
Athletic Bilbao 38.56%
Draw 26.39%
Osasuna | Draw | Athletic Bilbao |
1-0 @ 9.41% ( -0) 2-1 @ 7.91% 2-0 @ 5.93% ( -0) 3-1 @ 3.32% 3-0 @ 2.49% ( -0) 3-2 @ 2.22% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.05% Other @ 2.72% Total : 35.04% | 1-1 @ 12.55% 0-0 @ 7.47% ( -0) 2-2 @ 5.28% ( 0) 3-3 @ 0.99% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.39% | 0-1 @ 9.97% ( -0) 1-2 @ 8.38% ( 0) 0-2 @ 6.65% ( 0) 1-3 @ 3.73% ( 0) 0-3 @ 2.96% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.35% ( 0) 1-4 @ 1.24% 0-4 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 2.29% Total : 38.56% |
How you voted: Osasuna vs Athletic Bilbao
Osasuna
54.2%Draw
21.2%Athletic Bilbao
24.6%118
Head to Head
Jan 9, 2023 8pm
May 15, 2022 6.30pm
Athletic Bilbao
2-0
Osasuna
Berenguer (33'), Villalibre (79')
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-12 17:53:09
Friday, June 14
8pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Scotland
Saturday, June 15
2pm
Group Stage
Hungary
vs.
Switzerland
5pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Croatia
8pm
Group Stage
Italy
vs.
Albania
Sunday, June 16
2pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Netherlands
5pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Denmark
8pm
Group Stage
Serbia
vs.
England
Monday, June 17
2pm
Group Stage
Romania
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Slovakia
8pm
Group Stage
Austria
vs.
France
Tuesday, June 18
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Georgia
8pm
Group Stage
Portugal
vs.
Czech Republic
Wednesday, June 19
2pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Albania
5pm
Group Stage
Germany
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Switzerland
Thursday, June 20
2pm
Group Stage
Slovenia
vs.
Serbia
5pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
England
8pm
Group Stage
Spain
vs.
Italy
Friday, June 21
2pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Ukraine
5pm
Group Stage
Poland
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
France
Saturday, June 22
2pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Czech Republic
5pm
Group Stage
Turkey
vs.
Portugal
8pm
Group Stage
Belgium
vs.
Romania
Sunday, June 23
8pm
Group Stage
Scotland
vs.
Hungary
8pm
Group Stage
Switzerland
vs.
Germany
Monday, June 24
8pm
Group Stage
Albania
vs.
Spain
8pm
Group Stage
Croatia
vs.
Italy
Tuesday, June 25
5pm
Group Stage
France
vs.
Poland
5pm
Group Stage
Netherlands
vs.
Austria
8pm
Group Stage
Denmark
vs.
Serbia
8pm
Group Stage
England
vs.
Slovenia
Wednesday, June 26
5pm
Group Stage
Slovakia
vs.
Romania
5pm
Group Stage
Ukraine
vs.
Belgium
8pm
Group Stage
Czech Republic
vs.
Turkey
8pm
Group Stage
Georgia
vs.
Portugal
Saturday, June 29
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group A
vs.
2nd Group B
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group A
vs.
2nd Group C
Sunday, June 30
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group C
vs.
3rd Group D/E/F
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group B
vs.
3rd Group A/D/E/F
Monday, July 1
5pm
Round of 16
2nd Group D
vs.
2nd Group E
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group F
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C
Tuesday, July 2
5pm
Round of 16
1st Group E
vs.
3rd Group A/B/C/D
8pm
Round of 16
1st Group D
vs.
2nd Group F
Friday, July 5
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 39
vs.
Winner Match 37
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 41
vs.
Winner Match 42
Saturday, July 6
5pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 40
vs.
Winner Match 38
8pm
Quarter-Finals
Winner Match 43
vs.
Winner Match 44
Group A
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Germany | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Hungary | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Scotland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Switzerland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
Group D
Team | P | W | D | L | PTS | |
1 | Austria | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | France | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Netherlands | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Poland | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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